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Monza vs Empoli Prediction, 3/4/2023 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 2/28/2023

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Game: Monza vs Empoli

Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023

Location: Stadio Comunale Brianteo in Monza, Italy

TV: Paramount +

Odds/Point Spread: Monza (+108) Empoli (+275)

Monza (8-5-11) are hosting Empoli (6-10-8) at Stadio Comunale Brianteo on Saturday. The White and Reds are priced at +108 and the Blues are at +275. The total is set at 2.75. The goalies protecting the net are Michele Di Gregorio for Monza and Guglielmo Vicario for Empoli.

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Monza has earned 72 SVs and also hold a SV% of 67.6 over the course of the season. Their differential on goals is currently at -6 by way of 28 goals put in the net as well as 34 goals allowed. For the season, this squad is sitting with an average of 1.21 pts/match (29 pts) and they also rank 14th in Serie A with 17 assists. The White and Reds rank 11th in relation to goals expected having 29.7, and the team's xGA are at 31.2. Monza has compiled 56 yellow card warnings this year and 2 red cards. A.C. Monza has given up 34 goals while surrendering 1.42 goals per 90, and their oppositition have a total of 105 shots on target against them. They have tallied 7 clean sheets, giving them a % of 29.2 over the course of the season.

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The Blues are sitting with an average of 1.2 points per contest while accounting for 12 assists and 5 red cards. The Blues have tallied a clean sheet percentage of 29.2 this year as well as 60 yellow cards. Empoli is ranked 15th in goals conceded with 31, and the difference in goals is coming in at -9. For the season, the Blues have a save percentage of 72.1 (104 SoT against), and have a ranking of 12th in the league with 28 pts. The team's goals against per 90 is at 1.29 in addition to 73 saves, and they have recorded 7 shutouts. Empoli has totaled 22 goals and the team's expected goals on the campaign is sitting at 22.9.

The guy protecting the net for Monza will be Michele Di Gregorio. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.09 (131 goals conceded) and he is the owner of a save percentage of .744. Di Gregorio (54-32-34 record in his career) has 44 shutouts, which leaves him with a 36.7% clean sheet percentage. Di Gregorio has defended the goal for 10,769 mins and has earned 334 saves thus far in his career. The keeper born in Italy has seen 449 shots tried against him in 120 career starting assignments.

Guglielmo Vicario will reside in front of the net for Empoli. He has allowed 0.86 goals per 90 while holding a record of 31-33-37. Vicario has recorded 24 shutouts and has seen 299 shots attempted against him in 9,107 career minutes. In his career, Vicario has conceded 87 goals and has 220 saves in 101 starts. He has earned a save % of .736 and his clean sheet rate is 23.8%.

Gianluca Caprari is a player who should impact this matchup for Monza. The forward representing Italy has tallied 56 goals in 16,860 professional minutes played. Caprari has been a starter in 192 matches in his pro soccer career and accounts for 0.30 goals per 90 mins. He has accounted for 28 assists while earning 36 yellow card warnings in his career.

Empoli stars Martin Satriano, who pesters opposing defenses. The forward hailing from Italy has totaled 2,279 mins and has scored 5 goals. He averages 0.20 goals per 90 and has had a starting assignment in 28 matches in his career. He has 8 yellow cards in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 1 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Monza (+108)

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