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Monza vs Bologna Prediction, 9/27/2023 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 9/26/2023

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Game: Monza vs Bologna

Date: Wednesday, September 27, 2023

Location: Stadio Brianteo in Monza, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Odds/Point Spread: Monza (+139) Bologna (+200)

Monza (1-2-2 last season) will go up against Bologna (1-3-1 last year) at Stadio Brianteo on Wednesday. The White and Reds are priced at +139 while Bologna are at +200. The over/under is 2.5. The goalkeepers who are expected to start will be Michele Di Gregorio for Monza and Lukasz Skorupski for Bologna.

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The White and Reds ranked 8th when talking about goals expected having 6.5, and the expected goals against were at 6.8. Monza relinquished 7 goals while relinquishing 1.40 goals per 90, and the opposition accumulated 21 SoT against them. Their difference in goals was at -3 with 4 goals finished and 7 goals conceded. They accounted for 1 clean sheet, giving them a rate of 20.0 last year. Monza accounted for 14 saves and also held a SV% of 76.2 over the course of last season. Monza tallied 13 yellow cards during the previous year in addition to 1 red card. For the previous year, this club had an average of 1.00 pts per fixture (5 pts) and were ranked 14th in soccer with 3 assists.

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Last year, the Greyhounds had a save percentage of 71.4 (14 SoT against), and sat at 11th in soccer with 6 pts. The Greyhounds sat with an average of 1.2 pts per fixture while compiling 2 assists. Bologna had 3 goals and their expected goals last season was 4.7. Bologna recorded a clean sheet % of 40.0 in the previous season and also 10 yellow card warnings. This clubs's goals against/90 minutes was 0.80 in addition to 10 saves, and they had a total of 2 shut outs. Bologna had a rank of 11th in the category of goals allowed with 4, and their difference in goals was sitting at -1.

The man who will defend the goal for Monza is Michele Di Gregorio. Di Gregorio (61-37-39 record in his career) has tallied 48 clean sheets, which has him sitting with a 35.0% clean sheet percentage. The goalie from Italy has had 547 shots tried at him in 137 starting assignments. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.13 (154 total goals allowed) and he has earned a save % of 74.6. Di Gregorio has seen the pitch for a total of 12,299 mins and has 395 stops during his soccer career.

Lukasz Skorupski will be looking after the goal for Bologna. Skorupski has racked up 73 shutouts while seeing 1,406 shots tried against him in 27,630 mins in his career. He has a save percentage of 71.6 and his clean sheet rate sits at 23.8%. He has allowed 1.42 goals per 90 minutes while he holds a mark of 99-79-129. Thus far in his career, Skorupski has conceded 435 goals and has accumulated 973 saves in 307 starts.

Gianluca Caprari is one member of the side who should impact this matchup for Monza. Caprari has started 240 outings during his career while scoring 0.30 goals per 90 minutes. The forward born in Italy has accumulated 69 goals scored in 20,714 professional minutes. He has 36 assists while tallying 43 yellow card warnings during his soccer career.

Bologna has a playmaker in Joshua Zirkzee, who should keep defenses up at night. He has 9 yellow cards in his career and has assisted on a goal 14 times. The forward from the Netherlands has 4,840 minutes and he has scored 24 goals. He has an average of 0.45 goals per 90 minutes and has been in the starting lineup in 54 games during his career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Monza (+139)

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