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Liverpool vs Aston Villa Prediction, 5/20/2023 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/15/2023

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Game: Liverpool vs Aston Villa

Date: Saturday, May 20, 2023

Location: Anfield in Liverpool, England

TV: fuboTV

Odds/Point Spread: Liverpool (-213) Aston Villa (+460)

Anfield is where Aston Villa (17-6-13) will attempt to defeat Liverpool (18-8-9) on Saturday. Liverpool are priced at -213 and Aston Villa are at +460. The betting total comes in at 2.5. The goaltenders who are expected to start are Alisson for Liverpool and Emiliano Martinez for Aston Villa.

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The Reds are 4th concerning goals expected having 65.7, and the expected goals against are coming in at 47.3. Liverpool F.C. has allowed 42 goals while relinquishing 1.20 G/90, and their opponents have accumulated 140 SoT against them. The team's goal differential is currently at 25 with the help of 67 goals notched and 42 goals conceded. They have accumulated 13 clean sheets, which gives them a % of 37.1 on the campaign. Liverpool has earned 99 SVs and they have a save% of 71.4 on the season. Liverpool has recorded 51 yellow card warnings for the season as well as 1 red card. So far this year, this squad holds an average of 1.77 pts/match (62 points) and also are 3rd in the league with 51 assists.

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The Villains have an average of 1.6 points per fixture while tallying 32 assists and 1 red card. Aston Villa F.C. has recorded a clean sheet rate of 33.3 on the year and also 71 yellow cards. Aston Villa sits at 9th in the category of goals allowed with 44, and their goal difference is at 4. Over the course of the season, Aston Villa F.C. has a save percentage of 72.5 (142 SoT against), and they also sit at 7th in soccer with 57 points. This team's goals against/90 minutes is 1.22 in addition to 101 saves, and they have accounted for 12 clean sheets. Aston Villa has earned 48 goals and the squad's xG this season sits at 46.0.

The guy protecting the net for Liverpool is Alisson. His goals against per 90 mins is 0.70 (171 goals given up) and he has a save % of .750. Alisson (157-50-39 record in his career) has totaled 112 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 45.5% clean sheet percentage. Alisson has seen the field for a total of 21,999 minutes and has accumulated 496 saves in his career. The goalie from Brazil has faced 661 shots attempted against him in 246 career starts.

Emiliano Martinez will look after the net for Aston Villa. He has allowed 1.20 goals per 90 while earning a record of 69-37-71. Martinez has accumulated 58 shutouts while defending 755 shots tried against him in 15,878 mins throughout his career. In his career, Martinez has given up 220 goals and has 549 saves in 177 starts. He is the owner of a save % of .727 and his clean sheet rate is currently at 32.8%.

Mohamed Salah is one guy who can be a difference maker for Liverpool. Salah has been in the starting lineup in 303 matches so far in his career while he scores 0.61 goals per 90 minutes. The forward hailing from Egypt has accumulated 183 goals in 27,124 minutes. He has totaled 81 assists while earning 12 yellow card warnings during his career.

Aston Villa has a player in Ollie Watkins, who can change the course of a fixture. The forward hailing from England has 25,153 professional minutes and has earned 105 goals. He has an average of 0.38 goals per 90 mins and has had a starting assignment in 279 games in his career. He has accumulated 41 yellow cards so far in his pro soccer career and has helped a teammate on a goal 33 times.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Liverpool (-213)

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