Lens vs Toulouse Prediction, 9/24/2023 Ligue 1 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 9/19/2023

Game: Lens vs Toulouse

Date: Sunday, September 24, 2023

Location: Stade Bollaert-Delelis in Lens, France

TV: Sling TV

Odds/Point Spread: Lens (-141) Toulouse (+360)

Stade Bollaert-Delelis is the site where Toulouse (1-3-1) will take on Lens (0-1-4) on Sunday. Lens are priced at -141 and Les Pitchouns are priced at +360. The betting total is set at 2.5. The goaltenders who are expected to start are Brice Samba for Lens and Guillaume Restes for Toulouse.

soccer picks Florian Sotoca Lens predictions best bet odds.JPG

The Blood and Gold rank 14th when it comes to goals expected with 4.8, and the team's xGA are at 6.7. RC Lens relinquished 11 goals while conceding 2.20 goals per 90, and opponents have earned 27 shots on target against them. The team's difference in goals is currently at -7 because of 4 goals scored in addition to 11 goals conceded. The team hasn't compiled a clean sheet so far this season. Lens has earned 16 SVs and they hold a save rate of 70.4 over the course of the season. Lens has accounted for 13 yellow card warnings on the season and 1 red card. This season, the club is averaging 0.20 pts/match (1 point) and they also have a ranking of 14th in soccer with 3 assists.

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Toulouse has earned 5 goals and their xG on the season is sitting at 4.1. The club's goals against/90 minutes is at 1.20 with 12 saves, and they have a total of 1 clean sheet. So far this year, Toulouse FC has a save rate of 83.3 (18 SoT against), and rank 13th in soccer with 6 pts. Toulouse is 12th when it comes to goals conceded with 6, and the squad's goal differential is coming in at -1. Toulouse FC has compliled a clean sheet % of 20.0 on the season and 11 yellow card cautions. Les Pitchouns are averaging 1.2 pts/match while compiling 4 assists.

The man who will protect the net for Lens will be Brice Samba. Samba has defended the goal for a total of 19,098 minutes and has tallied 604 stops so far in his pro soccer career. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.02 (217 goals allowed) and he has a save percentage of 76.5. The goalie from Congo has seen 818 shots tried against him in 211 career starts. Samba (83-64-65 mark during his career) has recorded 70 shutouts, which has him sitting with a 33.2% shutout percentage.

Guillaume Restes will be residing in front of the net for Toulouse. Restes has tallied 1 clean sheets while defending 18 shots tried against him in 450 minutes in his career. He holds a save percentage of 83.3 and his clean sheet rate is 20.0%. He has conceded 1.20 goals per 90 mins while earning a mark of 1-3-1. In his career, Restes has given up 6 goals and has accumulated 12 saves in 5 starting assignments.

Florian Sotoca is one member of the squad who could help decide the outcome for Lens. Sotoca has been in the starting lineup in 156 matches in his career while scoring 0.27 goals per 90 minutes. The forward hailing from France has earned 42 goals scored in 13,777 minutes played. He has totaled 28 assists while accumulating 27 yellow cards in his career.

Toulouse stars Thijs Dallinga, who can change the course of a fixture. He scores 0.63 G/90 and has been in the starting lineup in 72 matches in his pro soccer career. The forward who is from the Netherlands has been on the field for 6,405 professional minutes while he has scored 45 goals. He has 9 yellow cards thus far in his career and has assisted on a goal 9 times.

Who will win tonight's Ligue 1 game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Lens (-141)

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Lens vs Toulouse Prediction, 9/24/2023 Ligue 1 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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