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Lens vs Metz Prediction, 9/17/2023 Ligue 1 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 9/12/2023

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Game: Lens vs Metz

Date: Sunday, September 17, 2023

Location: Stade Bollaert-Delelis in Lens, France

TV: beIN Sports

Odds/Point Spread: Lens (-189) Metz (+480)

Stade Bollaert-Delelis is where Metz (1-2-1) will go up against Lens (0-1-3) on Sunday. Metz are at at +480 and Lens are priced at -189. The total is set at 2.5. The goalkeepers who are expected to start are Brice Samba for Lens and Alexandre Oukidja for Metz.

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RC Lens relinquished 10 goals while relinquishing 2.50 goals per 90 min, and opposing clubs have earned 25 SoT on them. They have yet to earn a clean sheet this year. Lens has a total of 12 yellow card warnings for the season and also 1 red card. The Blood and Gold sit at 18th in the category of xG with 2.8, and the team's expected goals against are coming in at 6.4. So far this year, this team has put together an average of 0.25 pts per match (1 point) and also sit at 9th in soccer with 3 assists. This team's difference in goals is currently at -6 by way of 4 goals put in the net and 10 goals allowed. Lens has tallied 15 SVs and have a save% of 72.0 this season.

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Metz has accounted for 6 goals and the team's expected goals for the year is 3.1. Their goals against/90 min is 2.25 with 16 saves, and they have accumulated 1 clean sheet. For the season, the Maroons have a save rate of 64.0 (25 shots on target against), and they also sit at 12th in the league with 5 points. Metz sits at 14th in relation to goals surrendered with 9, and their goal difference is sitting at -3. The Maroons have compliled a shut out percentage of 25.0 over the course of the season as well as 6 yellow card warnings. The Maroons have an average of 1.3 pts/match while having 5 assists and 1 red card.

The man who is expected to protect the net for Lens will be Brice Samba. Samba has been on the field for a total of 19,008 minutes and is sitting with 603 saves during his pro soccer career. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.02 (216 total goals allowed) and he has earned a save percentage of 76.6. The goalkeeper hailing from Congo has had 816 shots sent in his direction in 210 starting assignments. Samba (83-64-64 record in his career) has earned 70 shutouts, which has earned him a 33.3% clean sheet percentage.

Alexandre Oukidja will reside in front of the goal for Metz. Oukidja has racked up 69 shutouts while seeing 667 shots attempted against him in 18,709 mins throughout his career. He is the owner of a save percentage of 72.1 and his shutout rate is currently at 32.9%. He has allowed 1.13 goals per 90 mins while earning a record of 87-64-59. In his career, Oukidja has given up 234 goals while tallying 458 saves in 210 starting assignments.

Florian Sotoca is a member of the team you are going to want to keep your eye on for Lens. Sotoca has started 155 matchups so far in his career and he tallies 0.28 goals per 90 mins. The forward who is from France has recorded 42 goals in 13,687 minutes. He has 28 assists while earning 27 yellow cards during his career.

Metz features an attacker in Simon Elisor, who defenders will be preparing for in this game. He has collected 7 yellow cards during his soccer career and has assisted on a goal 2 times. The forward from France has totaled 2,601 professional minutes while scoring 10 goals. He scores 0.35 goals per 90 mins and has started 26 contests so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's Ligue 1 game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Metz (+480)

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