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Leeds United vs Brighton Prediction, 3/11/2023 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 3/7/2023

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Game: Leeds United vs Brighton

Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023

Location: Elland Road in Leeds, England

TV: fuboTV

Odds/Point Spread: Leeds United (+265) Brighton (+101)

The Seagulls (11-5-7) are traveling to Elland Road on Saturday where they will try to beat the Whites (5-7-13). Leeds United open at +265 while Brighton are at +101. The betting total comes in at 2.5. The expected starting goalkeepers are Illan Meslier for Leeds United and Robert Sanchez for Brighton.

soccer picks Patrick Bamford Leeds United predictions best bet odds

Leeds United has recorded 73 saves and have a SV% of 66.1 on the year. Their differential on goals is at -11 with 29 goals tallied and 40 goals surrendered. This season, the squad is averaging 0.88 points per fixture (22 points) and they also are ranked 11th in the league with 20 assists. The Whites rank 9th in relation to expected goals with 31.4, and their xGA are 36.6. Leeds United has a total of 56 yellow card warnings so far this year as well as 2 red cards. Leeds has conceded 40 goals while relinquishing 1.60 goals per 90 minutes, and opposing clubs have recorded 112 shots on target against them. They are sitting with 5 shut outs, which has them at a rate of 20.0 over the course of the season.

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The Seagulls come in with an average of 1.7 pts per contest while having 25 assists. Brighton & Hove Albion has amassed a shut out % of 30.4 on the year and also 31 yellow cards. Brighton is 5th in the category of goals surrendered with 29, and the goal differential sits at 14. On the season, Brighton & Hove Albion has a save rate of 67.6 (74 shots on target against), and also have a ranking of 8th in the league with 38 points. This team's goals against per 90 min is at 1.26 in addition to 47 saves, and they have accounted for 7 clean sheets. Brighton has totaled 43 goals and the squad's expected goals for the season is sitting at 39.5.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Leeds United is Illan Meslier. Meslier has seen the pitch for 12,204 minutes and has 367 stops during his career. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.53 (207 total goals surrendered) and he has earned a save percentage of .694. The goalkeeper hailing from France has faced 529 shots attempted at him in 136 starts. Meslier (50-33-53 mark during his soccer career) has earned 37 shutouts, which leaves him with a 27.2% shutout percentage.

Robert Sanchez will reside in front of the net for Brighton. Sanchez has totaled 33 shutouts and has seen 431 shots attempted against him in 10,079 minutes throughout his career. He has a save percentage of .691 and his shutout rate is currently at 29.5%. He has allowed 1.27 goals per 90 minutes while holding a record of 37-35-40. Thus far in his career, Sanchez has surrendered 142 goals and has totaled 298 saves in 112 starting assignments.

Patrick Bamford is one member of the team who should impact this matchup for Leeds United. The forward from England has totaled 100 goals in 19,085 mins played. Bamford has been a starter in 217 outings during his soccer career and he accounts for 0.47 goals per 90 mins. He has accounted for 22 assists while accumulating 24 yellow cards during his soccer career.

Brighton is being led onto the pitch by Danny Welbeck, who should keep defenses up at night. He scores 0.32 G/90 and has been a starter in 181 games in his career. The forward from England has totaled 16,871 minutes and has earned 60 goals. He has accumulated 13 yellow card warnings in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 26 times.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Leeds United (+265)

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