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Free Picks » Soccer Picks » Lecce vs Genoa Prediction, 9/24/2023 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

Lecce vs Genoa Prediction, 9/24/2023 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/19/2023

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Game: Lecce vs Genoa

Date: Sunday, September 24, 2023

Location: Stadio Comunale Via Del Mare in Lecce, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Odds/Point Spread: Lecce (+126) Genoa (+238)

The Griffin (1-1-2 last year) are headed to Stadio Comunale Via Del Mare on Sunday where they will try to defeat the Yellow and Reds (2-2-0 last season). The Yellow and Reds are priced at +126 and Genoa are at +238. The over/under is 2.5. The expected starting goalkeepers will be Wladimiro Falcone for Lecce and Josep Martinez for Genoa.

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Lecce recorded 13 saves and also were the owners of a save rate of 76.5 in the previous season. This team's differential on goals sat at 3 by 7 goals notched and also 4 goals allowed. Last season, the squad had an average of 2.00 points per match (8 pts) and they also were 7th in Serie A with 5 assists. The Yellow and Reds were 9th concerning expected goals having 4.3, and their expected goals against sat at 6.2. Lecce accounted for 10 yellow card warnings over the course of last season in addition to 1 red card. Lecce conceded 4 goals while giving up 1.00 goals per 90, and the opposition earned 17 SoT on them. They compiled 1 clean sheet, giving them a percentage of 25.0 in the previous season.

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The Griffin had an average of 1.0 pts per contest while having 3 assists. Genoa accounted for a shut out % of 25.0 during the previous year and also 12 yellow card cautions. Genoa had a ranking of 15th in goals given up with 7, and the squad's goal difference was sitting at -3. Last year, Genoa C.F.C. had a save % of 50.0 (14 SoTA), and also sat at 11th in soccer with 4 points. Their goals against/90 min was at 1.75 in addition to 7 saves, and they tallied 1 clean sheet. Genoa tallied 4 goals and their goals expected last year was 2.1.

The man who is expected to protect the net for Lecce will be Wladimiro Falcone. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.25 (112 goals surrendered) and he has a save percentage of 77.6. Falcone (18-32-39 mark in his career) has 18 shutouts, which leaves him with a 20.2% clean sheet percentage. Falcone has played for a total of 8,055 minutes and has accumulated 334 stops during his career. The keeper from Italy has had 446 shots tried at him in 89 career starts.

Josep Martinez will look after the net for Genoa. During his career, Martinez has allowed 63 goals and has tallied 137 stops in 64 starts. He has surrendered 0.99 goals per 90 minutes while earning a record of 30-18-16. He has earned a save % of 73.1 and his clean sheet rate sits at 45.3%. Martinez has tallied 29 clean sheets and has defended 201 shots against him in 5,714 career mins.

Gabriel Strefezza is one member of the side who could help decide the outcome for Lecce. Strefezza has been in the starting lineup in 2 matchups in his career while he scores 0.42 goals per 90 minutes. The forward who is from Brazil has totaled 1 goals scored in 212 minutes played. He has 0 assists while accumulating 1 yellow card in his career.

Genoa stars Mateo Retegui, who defenders will be preparing for in this game. The forward born in Argentina has played 6,423 mins and has earned 40 goals. He is averaging 0.56 G/90 and has been a starter in 71 games in his pro soccer career. He has totaled 18 yellow card warnings in his career and has assisted on a goal 4 times.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Genoa (+238)

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