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Lecce vs AS Roma Prediction, 2/11/2023 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 2/7/2023

soccer picks Rui Patricio AS Roma predictions best bet odds

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Game: Lecce vs AS Roma

Date: Saturday, February 11, 2023

Location: Stadio Comunale Via Del Mare in Lecce, Italy

TV: Paramount +

Odds/Point Spread: Lecce (+310) AS Roma (-103)

Lecce (5-8-8) will try to defeat AS Roma (12-4-5) at Stadio Comunale Via Del Mare on Saturday. The Yellow and Reds are priced at +310 while AS Roma are at -103. The over/under is set at 2.5. The starting goaltenders are Wladimiro Falcone for Lecce and Rui Patricio for AS Roma.

The Yellow and Reds are ranked 19th in xG having 18.6, and the squad's expected goals against are coming in at 23.7. U.S. Lecce has allowed 24 goals while surrendering 1.14 G/90, and opponents have 89 shots on target against them. Their goal differential is at -3 with the help of 21 goals finished and also 24 goals allowed. They have recorded 3 clean sheets, giving them a rate of 14.3 for the season. Lecce has accounted for 66 saves and also are the owners of a save rate of 76.4 this year. Lecce has a total of 47 yellow cards so far this season in addition to 2 red cards. On the year, the club is sitting with an average of 1.10 pts per contest (23 points) and they also have a rank of 15th in Serie A with 14 assists.

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AS Roma has tallied 28 goals and their expected goals so far this year is at 34.4. This team's goals against/90 minutes is 0.86 with 42 saves, and they have tallied 8 clean sheets. This season, Roma has a save rate of 70.0 (60 shots on target against), and also are ranked 3rd in soccer with 40 pts. AS Roma sits at 6th when it comes to goals relinquished with 18, and the team's goal differential is sitting at 10. Roma has a shut out % of 38.1 so far this year as well as 43 yellow cards. The Yellow and Reds sport an average of 1.9 pts per fixture while accumulating 19 assists.

The guy protecting the net for Lecce will be Wladimiro Falcone. Falcone has been on the pitch for a total of 5,310 mins and is sitting with 230 saves thus far in his career. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.22 (72 goals conceded) and he has earned a save percentage of .782. The goalkeeper hailing from Italy has had 294 shots attempted at him in 59 starts. Falcone (11-25-23 mark in his career) has recorded 12 shutouts, which gives him a 20.3% shutout percentage.

Rui Patricio will be residing in front of the net for AS Roma. Patricio has tallied 174 shutouts and has seen 1,597 shots tried against him in 41,334 career mins. He is the owner of a save percentage of .736 and his shutout rate is currently 37.8%. He has surrendered 0.94 goals per 90 minutes and he has a mark of 246-111-102. So far in his career, Patricio has given up 434 goals while totaling 1,175 saves in 460 starting assignments.

Assan Ceesay is one member of the squad to keep an eye out for Lecce. Ceesay has been a starter in 92 matches thus far in his career and has 0.37 G/90. The forward from Gambia has earned 33 goals in 8,090 mins. He has accounted for 18 assists while accumulating 26 yellow card warnings during his pro soccer career.

AS Roma stars Tammy Abraham, who gives opposing coaches headaches. The forward from England has played 13,088 mins and has scored 80 goals. He sports an average of 0.55 goals per 90 mins and has been in the starting lineup in 146 games during his pro soccer career. He has collected 9 yellow card warnings in his career and has assisted on a goal 14 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Lecce (+310)

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