Lecce vs AC Milan Prediction, 1/14/2023 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 1/11/2023

soccer picks Gabriel Strefezza Lecce predictions best bet odds

Game: Lecce vs AC Milan

Date: Saturday, January 14, 2023

Location: Stadio Comunale Via Del Mare in Lecce, Italy

TV: Paramount +

Odds/Point Spread: Lecce (+500) AC Milan (-173)

Stadio Comunale Via Del Mare is the location where AC Milan (11-4-2) will go up against Lecce (4-7-6) on Saturday. AC Milan are at at -173 while the Yellow and Reds are at +500. The betting total is set at 2.5. The goalkeepers who are expected to start will be Wladimiro Falcone for Lecce and Ciprian Tatarusanu for AC Milan.

The Yellow and Reds rank 19th for xG having 13.6, and the team's expected goals against are coming in at 20.3. U.S. Lecce has conceded 18 goals while allowing 1.06 goals per 90, and opponents have earned 71 shots on target against them. Their difference in goals is currently at -2 with the help of 16 goals scored and also 18 goals given up. They have recorded 2 shut outs, which has them sitting at a percentage of 11.8 on the season. Lecce has compiled 54 saves and also hold a save% of 78.9 this year. Lecce is sitting with 42 yellow card warnings so far this season as well as 2 red cards. This year, the club is sitting with an average of 1.12 points per match (19 points) and are ranked 17th in the league with 10 assists.

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Over the course of the season, the Red and Blacks have a save percentage of 70.2 (57 shots on target against), and they also sit at 3rd in the league with 37 points. The Red and Blacks have an average of 2.2 pts per contest while having 26 assists and 2 red cards. AC Milan has amassed 33 goals and the squad's expected goals on the year is at 28.6. The Red and Blacks have earned a shut out percentage of 23.5 so far this year in addition to 43 yellow cards. The club's goals against per 90 is currently at 1.06 in addition to 38 saves, and they have accumulated 4 clean sheets. AC Milan sits at 3rd in the matter of goals surrendered with 18, and their difference in goals is at 15.

The man who is expected to defend the goal for Lecce is Wladimiro Falcone. Falcone has defended the goal for a total of 4,950 minutes and has tallied 218 stops in his career. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.20 (66 goals given up) and he has earned a save % of .790. The goalie hailing from Italy has faced 276 shots attempted at him in 55 career starts. Falcone (10-24-21 record during his career) has accumulated 11 clean sheets, which has him sitting with a 20.0% clean sheet percentage.

Ciprian Tatarusanu will look after the net for AC Milan. Tatarusanu has tallied 120 clean sheets while seeing 1,219 shots against him in 30,323 mins throughout his career. He holds a save % of .726 and his clean sheet rate is currently 35.3%. He has given up 1.02 goals per 90 and he has a record of 164-83-90. In his career, Tatarusanu has allowed 342 goals and has accumulated 885 stops in 340 starting assignments.

Assan Ceesay is one man who can be a difference maker for Lecce. He has accounted for 18 assists while accumulating 26 yellow cards so far in his pro soccer career. The forward hailing from Gambia has recorded 33 goals in 8,069 minutes played. Ceesay has been in the starting lineup in 92 games so far in his pro soccer career and tallies 0.37 G/90.

AC Milan is being led onto the pitch by Junior Messias, who can change the course of a fixture. He currently averages 0.23 goals per 90 mins and has been in the starting lineup in 77 matches during his career. The forward born in Brazil has accumulated 6,644 professional minutes while earning 17 goals. He has 14 yellow cards thus far in his career and has helped a teammate on a goal 9 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Lecce (+500)

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Lecce vs AC Milan Prediction, 1/14/2023 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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