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Lazio vs AS Roma Prediction, 3/19/2023 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/14/2023

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Game: Lazio vs AS Roma

Date: Sunday, March 19, 2023

Location: Stadio Olimpico in Roma, Italy

TV: Paramount +

Odds/Point Spread: Lazio (+169) AS Roma (+186)

Lazio (14-7-5) will go up against AS Roma (14-5-7) at Stadio Olimpico on Sunday. Lazio are priced at +169 while AS Roma are at +186. The total is set at 2.5. The goaltenders who are expected to start will be Ivan Provedel for Lazio and Rui Patricio for AS Roma.

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Lazio has recorded 68 saves and have a save% of 79.3 for the year. Their differential on goals is 22 by means of 41 goals tallied and 19 goals allowed. On the season, this team averages 1.88 points per contest (49 points) and rank 7th in Serie A with 27 assists. The White and Sky Blues have a ranking of 8th in relation to expected goals having 33.3, and the squad's expected goals against are 27.8. Lazio has accumulated 53 yellow card warnings for the year as well as 1 red card. The White and Sky Blues have relinquished 19 goals while relinquishing 0.73 goals per 90 minutes, and the other team have earned 87 shots on target on them. They have accounted for 15 clean sheets, which gives them a % of 57.7 over the course of the season.

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On the season, Roma has a save % of 71.3 (80 SoT against), and also are ranked 6th in soccer with 47 pts. The Yellow and Reds come in with an average of 1.8 pts per contest while having 25 assists and 1 red card. AS Roma has recorded 35 goals and the squad's xG so far this year is sitting at 38.7. Roma has earned a clean sheet % of 38.5 on the campaign and also 54 yellow cards. The club's goals against per 90 min is at 0.96 in addition to 57 saves, and they have accounted for 10 shutouts. AS Roma is 7th for goals allowed having 25, and the goal difference sits at 10.

The guy defending the goal for Lazio will be Ivan Provedel. Provedel (60-67-66 record in his career) has accumulated 53 clean sheets, which gives him a 27.2% clean sheet percentage. The goalkeeper hailing from Italy has had 828 shots attempted against him in 195 starting assignments. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.35 (264 total goals allowed) and he is the owner of a save percentage of .702. Provedel has seen the field for 17,582 mins and has accumulated 581 saves so far in his career.

Rui Patricio will be looking after the net for AS Roma. Patricio has accumulated 176 shutouts and defended 1,617 shots against him in 41,784 career minutes. He holds a save percentage of .736 and his clean sheet rate sits at 37.8%. He has allowed 0.95 goals per 90 and he has a record of 248-112-104. During his pro soccer career, Patricio has conceded 441 goals and has earned 1,190 stops in 465 starting assignments.

Pedro is one member of the squad who can make a difference on the pitch for Lazio. Pedro has been in the starting lineup in 264 games during his pro soccer career and tallies 0.37 G/90. The forward from Spain has tallied 95 goals in 23,267 professional minutes played. He has accounted for 56 assists while accumulating 36 yellow cards during his soccer career.

AS Roma has a guy in Tammy Abraham, who gives opposing coaches headaches. The forward born in England has been on the field for 13,307 mins and has scored 80 goals. He currently averages 0.54 goals per 90 minutes and has started 149 outings during his soccer career. He has totaled 9 yellow cards so far in his career and has helped a teammate on a goal 14 times.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take AS Roma (+186)

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