Hellas Verona vs Napoli Prediction, 10/22/2023 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/17/2023

Game: Hellas Verona vs Napoli

Date: Sunday, October 22, 2023

Location: Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi in Verona‎, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Odds/Point Spread: Hellas Verona (+450) Napoli (-165)

The Blues (4-2-2 last year) are en route to Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi on Sunday where they will take on the Yellow and Blues (2-2-4 last season). Hellas Verona are priced at +450 while the Blues are at -165. The total is set at 2.5. The goaltenders who are expected to start will be Lorenzo Montipo for Hellas Verona and Alex Meret for Napoli.

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Hellas Verona finished with 24 saves and they also earned a SV rate of 78.1 for the prior year. The team's goal differential was -3 by way of 5 goals earned and also 8 goals allowed. For the previous campaign, the team averaged 1.00 pts per fixture (8 points) and they also ranked 17th in Serie A with 3 assists. The Yellow and Blues had a rank of 20th when it comes to goals expected with 4.5, and their xGA were 9.0. Hellas Verona had 19 yellow card warnings over the course of last year and also 1 red card. Hellas Verona relinquished 8 goals while giving up 1.00 goals per 90, and the opposition recorded 32 shots on target against them. They compiled 3 clean sheets, giving them a % of 37.5 for the prior year.

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The Blues held an average of 1.8 pts/match while accounting for 10 assists. Napoli sat with a CS% of 37.5 last year and also 15 yellow cards. Napoli had a rank of 4th when talking about goals against having 9, and their goal difference was 8. Over the course of the season, S.S.C. Napoli had a save % of 57.9 (19 shots on target against), and sat at 5th in Serie A with 14 pts. Their goals against per 90 minutes was sitting at 1.13 with 10 saves, and they finished with 3 clean sheets. Napoli had a total of 17 goals and their expected goals over the course of last year was at 16.8.

The man defending the goal for Hellas Verona will be Lorenzo Montipo. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.35 (302 total goals allowed) and he has earned a save percentage of 68.8. Montipo (76-63-84 record in his career) has accounted for 53 clean sheets, which has him sitting with a 23.8% clean sheet percentage. Montipo has seen the pitch for 20,070 mins and has earned 628 saves during his career. The keeper born in Italy has had 922 shots attempted against him in 223 starts.

Alex Meret will be looking after the net for Napoli. Meret has recorded 50 shutouts while seeing 544 shots against him in 13,296 mins throughout his career. He holds a save % of 74.6 and his shutout rate sits at 33.8%. He has conceded 1.03 goals per 90 minutes while holding a record of 84-34-29. During his professional soccer career, Meret has allowed 152 goals and has accounted for 392 stops in 148 starting assignments.

Milan Djuric is a guy who could help decide the outcome for Hellas Verona. He has totaled 26 assists while earning 69 yellow cards thus far in his career. The forward representing Bosnia has totaled 71 goals scored in 26,249 minutes played. Djuric has had a starting assignment in 273 matches in his career and scores 0.24 goals per 90.

Napoli features an attacker in Matteo Politano, who gives opposing coaches headaches. He currently averages 0.26 goals per 90 mins and has started 229 matches so far in his career. The forward born in Italy has earned 19,688 minutes while scoring 56 goals. He has 29 yellow card warnings thus far in his career and has helped a teammate on a goal 36 times.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Hellas Verona (+450)

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Hellas Verona vs Napoli Prediction, 10/22/2023 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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