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Girona vs Sevilla Prediction, 1/14/2023 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 1/10/2023

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Game: Girona vs Sevilla

Date: Saturday, January 14, 2023

Location: Estadi Montilivi in Girona, Spain

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Girona (+146) Sevilla (+191)

Girona (4-6-6) will play Sevilla (3-6-7) at Estadi Montilivi on Saturday. Sevilla are priced at +191 and Girona are priced +146. The over/under is 2.75. The expected starting goalies will be Paulo Gazzaniga Girona and Bono Sevilla.

The Blanquivermells had a ranking of 6th in regard to goals expected having 22.0, and their expected goals against sat at 20.1. Girona conceded 26 goals while relinquishing 1.62 goals per 90 minutes, and the opposition earned 70 shots on target against them. The team's differential on goals sat at -2 by way of 24 goals accumulated and also 26 goals allowed. They didn't earn a clean sheet over the course of last season. Girona finished with 44 SVs and held a save rate of 65.7 in the prior season. Girona were sitting with 37 yellow card warnings for the previous season. For the prior year, this club put together an average of 1.13 points per contest (18 pts) and also had a rank of 6th in the league with 16 assists.

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On the year, Sevilla FC had a save % of 72.2 (79 SoT against), and they also were ranked 18th in the league with 15 points. The Palanganas ended the season with an average of 0.9 pts/match while having 13 assists and 7 red cards. Sevilla amassed 16 goals and the team's xG over the course of last year was at 15.9. Sevilla compiled a clean sheet percentage of 6.3 over the course of last year as well as 64 yellow card warnings. The club's goals against per 90 minutes was sitting at 1.50 with 55 saves, and they accounted for 1 clean sheet. Sevilla sat at 15th in the category of goals allowed with 24, and their goal difference was -8.

The guy who will defend the goal for Girona will be Paulo Gazzaniga. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.26 (152 goals conceded) and he is the owner of a save % of .700. Gazzaniga (44-27-46 record during his career) has accumulated 28 shutouts, which leaves him with a 23.5% clean sheet rate. Gazzaniga has been on the pitch for 10,871 mins and has earned 352 stops in his career. The goalkeeper hailing from Argentina has had 503 shots attempted against him in 119 career starts.

Bono is expected to look after the net for Sevilla. He has allowed 1.13 goals per 90 mins while he holds a mark of 88-53-59. Bounou has accumulated 69 clean sheets while he has seen 813 shots against him in 18,008 career minutes. So far in his career, Bounou has given up 227 goals and has racked up 606 stops in 201 starting assignments. He sports a save % of .745 and his shutout rate is 34.3%.

Valentin Castellanos is a guy who can be a force for Girona. The forward from Argentina has earned 57 goals scored in 10,656 mins played. Castellanos has been in the starting lineup in 122 matchups so far in his pro soccer career and he accounts for 0.48 goals per 90 mins. He has accounted for 18 assists while accumulating 46 yellow card cautions so far in his career.

Sevilla has an attacker in Rafa Mir, who is known to give defenses fits. He has an average of 0.45 goals per 90 mins and has started 71 contests so far in his pro soccer career. The forward hailing from Spain has been on the field for 6,479 mins and has scored 32 goals. He has accumulated 11 yellow card warnings during his career and has helped a teammate on a goal 5 times.

Who will win tonight's La Liga game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Girona (+146)

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