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Fiorentina vs AC Milan Prediction, 3/4/2023 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 2/28/2023

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Game: Fiorentina vs AC Milan

Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence, Italy

TV: Paramount +

Odds/Point Spread: Fiorentina (+191) AC Milan (+150)

The Red and Blacks (14-5-5) are traveling to Stadio Artemio Franchi on Saturday where they will meet the Purples (6-7-10). AC Milan are at at +150 and Fiorentina are at +191. The betting total comes in at 2.75. The goaltenders protecting the net are Pietro Terracciano for Fiorentina and Mike Maignan for AC Milan.

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ACF Fiorentina has given up 30 goals while allowing 1.30 G/90, and their opponents have recorded 75 shots on target against them. They have 4 clean sheets, which has them at a percentage of 17.4 on the season. Fiorentina has recorded 56 yellow card warnings for the season in addition to 2 red cards. The Purples sit at 8th in regard to xG with 31.9, and the squad's xGA are sitting at 26.4. This season, this team is sitting with an average of 1.09 pts per contest (25 pts) and are 11th in the league with 18 assists. The team's goal differential is currently at -6 because of 24 goals accumulated and also 30 goals relinquished. Fiorentina has recorded 46 saves and they are the owners of a SV rate of 64.0 so far this season.

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AC Milan has totaled 41 goals and the team's expected goals for the year is 37.0. Their goals against per 90 is currently at 1.25 with 53 saves, and they have a total of 7 clean sheets. This season, the Red and Blacks have a save percentage of 67.5 (83 SoTA), and also are ranked 4th in Serie A with 47 points. AC Milan is 6th in goals surrendered having 30, and the team's goal differential is at 11. The Red and Blacks have a CS% of 29.2 this year and 65 yellow card warnings. The Red and Blacks have an average of 2.0 points per fixture while accumulating 32 assists and 2 red cards.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Fiorentina will be Pietro Terracciano. Terracciano has seen the field for a total of 10,886 mins and has 366 stops in his career. His GA/90 is 1.27 (154 total goals allowed) and he has a save % of .709. The goalkeeper from Italy has seen 516 shots attempted at him in 120 starting assignments. Terracciano (35-40-45 record in his career) has recorded 28 clean sheets, which gives him a 23.3% clean sheet percentage.

Mike Maignan is expected to look after the net for AC Milan. He has allowed 0.99 goals per 90 minutes and he has earned a mark of 80-33-41. Maignan has totaled 60 clean sheets while seeing 526 shots attempted against him in 13,967 minutes throughout his career. During his pro soccer career, Maignan has surrendered 154 goals while totaling 391 saves in 155 starting assignments. He sports a save percentage of .743 and his shutout rate sits at 38.7%.

Jonathan Ikone is a member of the team who has a chance to score for Fiorentina. Ikone has been given a starting assignment in 134 games so far in his career while he scores 0.12 goals per 90 mins. The forward born in France has racked up 15 goals in 11,174 minutes played. He has 24 assists while accumulating 13 yellow card cautions in his career.

AC Milan has a player in Junior Messias, who should keep defenses up at night. The forward born in Brazil has been on the pitch for 6,963 minutes and he has scored 19 goals. He scores 0.25 goals per 90 mins and has been in the starting lineup in 81 games in his career. He has collected 14 yellow card warnings in his pro soccer career and has helped on a goal 10 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Fiorentina (+191)

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