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Elche vs Villarreal Prediction, 2/4/2023 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 1/30/2023

soccer picks Edgar Badia Elche predictions best bet odds

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Game: Elche vs Villarreal

Date: Saturday, February 4, 2023

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero in Alicante, Spain

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Elche (+380) Villarreal (-139)

The Submarino Amarillos (9-4-5) are traveling to Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero on Saturday where they will take on the Green-Striped Ones (0-6-13). Villarreal are priced at -139 and Elche are priced +380. The total has been set at 2.5. The goalies expected to start will be Edgar Badia Elche and Pepe Reina Villarreal.

Elche allowed 39 goals while surrendering 2.05 goals per 90 min, and the opposition compiled 118 shots on target against them. They were unable to earn a clean sheet over the course of last season. Elche recorded 57 yellow card warnings for the prior year as well as 7 red cards. The Green-Striped Ones were ranked 19th in relation to goals expected having 14.0, and their expected goals against came in at 38.6. For the previous campaign, the squad held an average of 0.32 pts per contest (6 pts) and also sat at 14th in soccer with 11 assists. Their goal differential was at -27 with 12 goals scored as well as 39 goals allowed. Elche accounted for 78 SVs and also held a save% of 69.5 for the previous season.

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The Submarino Amarillos ended the season with an average of 1.7 points per contest while having 11 assists and 2 red cards. Villarreal accumulated a clean sheet % of 44.4 for the prior year as well as 44 yellow card warnings. Villarreal ranked 5th in goals given up with 13, and their goal difference was 8. For the year, Villarreal CF had a save % of 83.3 (72 SoT against), and were 6th in the league with 31 pts. Their goals against/90 min sat at 0.72 with 59 saves, and they accounted for 8 clean sheets. Villarreal compiled 21 goals and this team's xG in the previous season was sitting at 25.3.

The man who will defend the goal for Elche is Edgar Badia. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.19 (246 goals conceded) and he holds a save percentage of .744. Badia (55-71-81 mark in his career) has tallied 59 shutouts, which has earned him a 28.5% shutout rate. Badia has played a total of 18,630 mins and has accumulated 559 stops during his soccer career. The keeper born in Spain has seen 751 shots sent in his direction in 207 career starts.

Pepe Reina will be residing in front of the net for Villarreal. During his professional soccer career, Reina has conceded 642 goals and has racked up 1,802 stops in 631 starting assignments. He has allowed 1.02 goals per 90 minutes while earning a record of 334-155-141. He sports a save percentage of .737 and his clean sheet rate sits at 39.0%. Reina has 246 clean sheets while defending 2,444 shots tried against him in 56,652 career mins.

Pere Milla is one player who can create chances for Elche. He has accounted for 11 assists while tallying 23 yellow card cautions during his soccer career. The forward who is from Spain has recorded 21 goals in 9,101 professional minutes played. Milla has been a starter in 102 contests in his career while scoring 0.21 G/90.

Villarreal features a game changer in Gerard Moreno, who defenders will be preparing in this game. The forward hailing from Spain has been on the pitch for 21,634 minutes and has scored 111 goals. He scores 0.46 goals per 90 mins and has been given a starting assignment in 243 matches in his pro soccer career. He has collected 31 yellow card warnings so far in his pro soccer career and has assisted on a goal 33 times.

Who will win tonight's La Liga game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Elche (+380)

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