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Elche vs Valladolid Prediction, 3/11/2023 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/7/2023

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Game: Elche vs Valladolid

Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero in Alicante, Spain

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Elche (+168) Valladolid (+169)

Elche (2-6-16) welcomes Valladolid (8-3-13) at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero on Saturday. Valladolid are priced at +169 while Elche are priced +168. The betting total is set at 2.5. The starting goalkeepers are Edgar Badia Elche and Sergio Asenjo Valladolid.

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The Green-Striped Ones were 17th for goals expected with 21.1, and their expected goals against were sitting at 50.3. Elche conceded 48 goals while surrendering 2.00 goals per 90 min, and opposing teams recorded 148 shots on target against them. The team's difference in goals was at -30 by means of 18 goals accumulated and also 48 goals allowed. They finished with 1 clean sheet, which had them sitting at a % of 4.2 for the prior year. Elche finished with 98 saves and they had a save rate of 72.3 During the previous year. Elche tallied 73 yellow card warnings over the course of the prior season and 11 red cards. For the prior year, this squad put together an average of 0.50 points per fixture (12 pts) and also sat at 20th in the league with 12 assists.

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The White and Violets sat with an average of 1.1 points per match while tallying 14 assists and 3 red cards. Valladolid tallied a clean sheet percentage of 25.0 last year in addition to 57 yellow card warnings. Valladolid had a rank of 18th for goals against having 34, and their goal differential sat at -16. On the year, Real Valladolid had a save percentage of 71.0 (107 SoT against), and had a ranking of 14th in the league with 27 pts. Their goals against per 90 sat at 1.42 with 70 saves, and they finished with 6 clean sheets. Valladolid finished with 18 goals and their goals expected over the course of last season sat at 22.4.

The guy protecting the net for Elche will be Edgar Badia. Badia (57-71-84 mark during his soccer career) has earned 60 shutouts, which has earned him a 28.3% clean sheet rate. The goalkeeper born in Spain has had 781 shots sent in his direction in 212 career starts. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.20 (255 goals allowed) and he holds a save percentage of .741. Badia has defended the goal a total of 19,080 mins and has earned 579 stops so far in his pro soccer career.

Sergio Asenjo will look after the net for Valladolid. He has surrendered 1.20 goals per 90 minutes while holding a mark of 115-80-103. Asenjo has totaled 94 clean sheets and has defended 1,222 shots tried against him in 26,648 minutes throughout his career. So far in his career, Asenjo has allowed 356 goals while earning 891 stops in 298 starts. He sports a save percentage of .729 and his clean sheet rate is 31.5%.

Lucas Boye is a member of the team who can be a force in the game for Elche. The forward from Argentina has accumulated 20 goals in 10,459 minutes. Boye has started 111 matchups during his soccer career and he scores 0.17 goals per 90. He has totaled 13 assists while accumulating 27 yellow cards thus far in his career.

Valladolid features a difference maker in Sergio Leon, who pesters opposing defenses. He has accumulated 10 yellow card cautions during his soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 11 times. The forward from Spain has played 15,069 mins while scoring 67 goals. He currently averages 0.40 goals per 90 minutes and has been given a starting assignment in 168 games in his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's La Liga game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Valladolid (+169)

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