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Elche vs Valencia Prediction, 4/23/2023 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 4/19/2023

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Game: Elche vs Valencia

Date: Sunday, April 23, 2023

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero in Alicante, Spain

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Elche (+320) Valencia (-111)

Elche (2-7-20) will take on Valencia (7-6-16) at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero on Sunday. Elche opens at +320 and Valencia are priced -111. The total has been set at 2.5. The starting goalkeepers will be Edgar Badia Elche and Giorgi Mamardashvili Valencia.

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The Green-Striped Ones sat at 20th in the matter of expected goals with 25.5, and their xGA were at 56.7. Elche relinquished 59 goals while surrendering 2.03 goals per 90 minutes, and opposing clubs tallied 168 SoT against them. Their goal differential was -39 as a result of 20 goals accumulated and 59 goals surrendered. They recorded 1 clean sheet, giving them a rate of 3.4 last year. Elche had 107 SVs and they held a SV percentage of 69.0 over the course of last season. Elche had 84 yellow cards over the course of the prior season and also 12 red cards. Last year, this squad averaged 0.45 pts per contest (13 pts) and also were 20th in soccer with 13 assists.

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The Ches ended the season with an average of 0.9 points per match while accumulating 15 assists and 6 red cards. Valencia sat with a clean sheet % of 17.2 in the prior season and also 74 yellow cards. Valencia ranked 13th when it comes to goals allowed with 36, and the squad's difference in goals was -6. Over the course of the season, Valencia CF had a save % of 70.7 (116 SoT against), and they also ranked 19th in soccer with 27 points. The club's goals against per 90 sat at 1.24 with 82 saves, and they accounted for 5 clean sheets. Valencia had 30 goals and the team's expected goals last year sat at 37.1.

The guy defending the goal for Elche will be Edgar Badia. Badia has seen the pitch a total of 19,440 minutes and has tallied 586 saves so far in his pro soccer career. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.22 (264 goals allowed) and he holds a save % of .735. The goalkeeper hailing from Spain has seen 797 shots attempted at him in 216 career starts. Badia (57-72-87 mark in his professional soccer career) has earned 60 shutouts, which leaves him with a 27.8% shutout percentage.

Giorgi Mamardashvili will be looking after the goal for Valencia. He has conceded 1.24 goals per 90 minutes while earning a record of 7-6-16. Mamardashvili has totaled 5 clean sheets while defending 116 shots against him in 2,610 mins throughout his career. During his professional soccer career, Mamardashvili has surrendered 36 goals and has accounted for 82 stops in 29 starts. He sports a save % of .707 and his shutout rate is currently at 17.2%.

Lucas Boye is a footballer who should impact this matchup for Elche. He has accounted for 13 assists while earning 30 yellow cards in his career. The forward from Argentina has totaled 20 goals in 10,805 minutes. Boye has started 115 outings in his pro soccer career and scores 0.17 goals per 90 minutes.

Valencia has a guy in Hugo Duro, who can change the course of a fixture. He has 11 yellow card warnings so far in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 2 times. The forward hailing from Spain has totaled 3,826 professional minutes while scoring 9 goals. He scores 0.21 goals per 90 and has been a starter in 41 outings during his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Elche (+320)

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