Chelsea vs Leeds United Prediction, 3/4/2023 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 2/28/2023

Game: Chelsea vs Leeds United

Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023

Location: Stamford Bridge in London, England

TV: fuboTV

Odds/Point Spread: Chelsea (-154) Leeds United (+420)

Chelsea (8-7-9) are hosting Leeds United (5-7-12) at Stamford Bridge on Saturday. Chelsea are priced at -154 and Leeds United are at +420. The over/under is set at 2.75. The expected starting goaltenders will be Kepa Arrizabalaga for Chelsea and Illan Meslier for Leeds United.

soccer picks Kai Havertz Chelsea predictions best bet odds

Chelsea has amassed 75 saves and they are the owners of a save rate of 74.5 so far this season. Their goal differential is -2 by way of 23 goals scored and 25 goals given up. For the year, this club has put together an average of 1.29 points per fixture (31 pts) and also are 15th in the league with 16 assists. The Blues are 13th in the category of expected goals having 28.3, and the team's expected goals against are 29.7. Chelsea has accounted for 52 yellow cards this year and also 3 red cards. The Blues have surrendered 25 goals while allowing 1.04 goals per 90 min, and the opposition have a total of 98 SoT on them. They have tallied 8 clean sheets, which has them sitting at a percentage of 33.3 so far this season.

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The Whites have put together an average of 0.9 pts per fixture while recording 20 assists and 2 red cards. Leeds has a clean sheet percentage of 20.8 on the campaign and 56 yellow cards. Leeds United is ranked 15th when talking about goals conceded with 39, and their goal difference is sitting at -10. Over the course of the season, Leeds has a save % of 66.1 (109 SoT against), and also sit at 17th in EPL with 22 points. This team's goals against per 90 is currently at 1.62 with 71 saves, and they have a total of 5 shutouts. Leeds United has totaled 29 goals and their xG on the campaign is at 30.4.

The man protecting the net for Chelsea is Kepa Arrizabalaga. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.16 (239 total goals allowed) and he has earned a save % of .707. Arrizabalaga (86-53-67 record in his career) has accumulated 68 shutouts, which has earned him a 33.0% clean sheet percentage. Arrizabalaga has defended the goal for 18,486 mins and has 557 stops so far in his pro soccer career. The keeper born in Spain has faced 788 shots tried at him in 206 starts.

Illan Meslier will look after the goal for Leeds United. So far in his pro soccer career, Meslier has surrendered 206 goals while totaling 365 stops in 135 starting assignments. He has given up 1.53 goals per 90 mins and he has earned a record of 50-33-52. He has a save percentage of .694 and his clean sheet rate is currently 27.4%. Meslier has racked up 37 shutouts while seeing 526 shots attempted against him in 12,114 career minutes.

Kai Havertz is one player who could help decide the outcome for Chelsea. Havertz has been given a starting assignment in 159 contests during his pro soccer career and he has earned 0.34 goals per 90. The forward representing Germany has tallied 53 goals in 13,982 mins. He has totaled 28 assists while tallying 19 yellow cards during his pro soccer career.

Leeds United features Patrick Bamford, who can change the course of a fixture. He is currently averaging 0.47 goals per 90 mins and has been a starter in 217 matches in his career. The forward from England has accumulated 19,085 minutes and has scored 100 goals. He has accounted for 24 yellow card warnings in his career and has helped a teammate on a goal 22 times.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chelsea (-154)

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Chelsea vs Leeds United Prediction, 3/4/2023 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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