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Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction, 4/15/2023 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/11/2023

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Game: Chelsea vs Brighton

Date: Saturday, April 15, 2023

Location: Stamford Bridge in London, England

TV: fuboTV

Odds/Point Spread: Chelsea (+160) Brighton (+172)

The Seagulls (13-7-8) are on their way to Stamford Bridge on Saturday where they will take on the Blues (10-9-11). Chelsea are priced at +160 while Brighton are at +172. The betting total is set at 2.75. The expected starting goalkeepers will be Kepa Arrizabalaga for Chelsea and Robert Sanchez for Brighton.

soccer picks Kai Havertz Chelsea predictions best bet odds

The Blues are 9th in goals expected with 39.0, and the squad's xGA are coming in at 36.2. The Blues have allowed 31 goals while relinquishing 1.03 goals per 90, and opposing clubs have earned 118 shots on target on them. The team's goal differential is at -2 by 29 goals finished in addition to 31 goals surrendered. They have earned 10 clean sheets, which has them sitting at a rate of 33.3 on the season. Chelsea has compiled 89 SVs and also hold a save% of 73.7 on the campaign. Chelsea has accounted for 67 yellow card warnings so far this season and 3 red cards. On the year, the club has put together an average of 1.30 pts/match (39 pts) and they also are 14th in EPL with 20 assists.

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The Seagulls average 1.6 points per fixture while recording 32 assists. Brighton & Hove Albion has compliled a clean sheet % of 32.1 for the year in addition to 36 yellow card warnings. Brighton is ranked 4th in goals relinquished with 36, and the squad's difference in goals sits at 16. Over the course of the season, Brighton & Hove Albion has a save rate of 66.3 (92 SoT against), and are ranked 7th in the league with 46 points. Their goals against per 90 is 1.29 in addition to 58 saves, and they have tallied 9 shutouts. Brighton has accumulated 52 goals and their expected goals this season is currently at 51.0.

The man protecting the net for Chelsea will be Kepa Arrizabalaga. Arrizabalaga has seen the field for 19,026 mins and has accumulated 571 saves so far in his pro soccer career. His GA/90 is 1.15 (245 total goals surrendered) and he holds a save percentage of .707. The goalkeeper from Spain has seen 808 shots attempted against him in 212 starting assignments. Arrizabalaga (88-55-69 mark in his professional soccer career) has totaled 70 clean sheets, which gives him a 33.0% clean sheet percentage.

Robert Sanchez is expected to look after the goal for Brighton. Sanchez has totaled 33 shutouts while defending 431 shots tried against him in 10,079 career minutes. He holds a save % of .691 and his shutout rate is 29.5%. He has conceded 1.27 goals per 90 while earning a mark of 37-35-40. In his career, Sanchez has given up 142 goals and has 298 saves in 112 starts.

Kai Havertz is a player who has a chance to score for Chelsea. He has 28 assists while tallying 19 yellow card cautions during his pro soccer career. The forward born in Germany has totaled 55 goals in 14,492 mins played. Havertz has had a starting assignment in 165 outings during his soccer career and he accounts for 0.34 goals per 90 minutes.

Brighton is being led onto the pitch by Danny Welbeck, who can change the course of a fixture. He currently averages 0.32 goals per 90 mins and has had a starting assignment in 184 outings in his career. The forward who is from England has 17,137 minutes and he has scored 61 goals. He has 13 yellow cards during his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 26 times.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Chelsea (+160)

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