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Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction, 4/1/2023 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/28/2023

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Game: Chelsea vs Aston Villa

Date: Saturday, April 1, 2023

Location: Stamford Bridge in London, England

TV: fuboTV

Odds/Point Spread: Chelsea (-152) Aston Villa (+430)

The Villains (11-5-11) are traveling to Stamford Bridge on Saturday where they will compete against the Blues (10-8-9). Chelsea are priced at -152 and Aston Villa are at +430. The total comes in at 2.5. The goalies protecting the net are Kepa Arrizabalaga for Chelsea and Emiliano Martinez for Aston Villa.

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The Blues have allowed 28 goals while surrendering 1.04 goals per 90, and opposing teams have recorded 109 SoT on them. They are sitting with 9 clean sheets, which has them at a % of 33.3 over the course of the season. Chelsea has earned 58 yellow cards this year and also 3 red cards. The Blues have a rank of 13th in relation to expected goals with 33.6, and the squad's expected goals against are sitting at 34.4. This season, this squad is averaging 1.41 pts per match (38 points) and also have a rank of 13th in EPL with 20 assists. The team's differential on goals is 1 because of 29 goals scored and 28 goals given up. Chelsea has accumulated 83 SVs and they have a SV rate of 74.3 on the campaign.

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Aston Villa has earned 35 goals and their goals expected for the year sits at 35.2. This team's goals against per 90 is at 1.44 with 76 saves, and they have recorded 8 shut outs. On the campaign, Aston Villa F.C. has a save rate of 68.8 (112 SoT against), and are 10th in soccer with 38 points. Aston Villa has a rank of 11th in the matter of goals given up with 39, and the squad's goal difference is sitting at -4. Aston Villa F.C. has a clean sheet rate of 29.6 on the year and also 53 yellow card cautions. The Villains average 1.4 pts per match while tallying 23 assists and 1 red card.

The man who is expected to protect the net for Chelsea will be Kepa Arrizabalaga. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.16 (242 total goals given up) and he has a save % of .707. Arrizabalaga (88-54-67 record in his career) has accumulated 69 shutouts, which has him sitting with a 33.0% shutout percentage. Arrizabalaga has seen the field for 18,756 minutes and has accumulated 565 stops in his career. The goalkeeper hailing from Spain has had 799 shots sent in his direction in 209 starts.

Emiliano Martinez will look after the goal for Aston Villa. He has surrendered 1.24 goals per 90 minutes while he holds a mark of 63-36-69. Martinez has tallied 54 shutouts while defending 728 shots tried against him in 15,113 career minutes. Thus far in his career, Martinez has surrendered 216 goals and has tallied 526 stops in 168 starting assignments. He is the owner of a save percentage of .723 and his clean sheet rate sits at 32.1%.

Kai Havertz is one footballer to keep an eye out for Chelsea. The forward hailing from Germany has earned 55 goals scored in 14,252 professional minutes played. Havertz has been given a starting assignment in 162 contests in his pro soccer career and he has earned 0.35 goals per 90 mins. He has 28 assists while earning 19 yellow cards so far in his pro soccer career.

Aston Villa features Ollie Watkins, who has been known to frustrate defenses. The forward from England has accumulated 24,345 minutes while scoring 100 goals. He scores 0.37 goals per 90 minutes and has had a starting assignment in 270 outings in his pro soccer career. He has earned 38 yellow card cautions so far in his career and has helped on a goal 32 times.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chelsea (-152)

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