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Brighton vs Southampton Prediction, 5/21/2023 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/15/2023

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Game: Brighton vs Southampton

Date: Sunday, May 21, 2023

Location: The American Express Community Stadium in Brighton and Hove, Sussex

TV: fuboTV

Odds/Point Spread: Brighton (-286) Southampton (+660)

The Saints (6-6-24) are en route to The American Express Community Stadium on Sunday where they will try to defeat the Seagulls (17-7-10). The Seagulls are priced at -286 while Southampton are at +660. The over/under comes in at 2.75. The men protecting the net will be Jason Steele for Brighton and Alex McCarthy for Southampton.

soccer picks Danny Welbeck Brighton predictions best bet odds

The Seagulls rank 3rd in relation to xG with 66.7, and the xGA are sitting at 41.3. Brighton & Hove Albion has given up 45 goals while giving up 1.32 goals per 90, and their opponents have accumulated 113 SoT against them. This team's differential on goals is currently at 21 with 66 goals put in the net and 45 goals conceded. They have a total of 12 clean sheets, which gives them a percentage of 35.3 this year. Brighton has accounted for 71 SVs and have earned a save rate of 65.5 on the season. Brighton has 46 yellow cards over the course of the season. This year, this team has put together an average of 1.71 pts/match (58 pts) and also sit at 5th in EPL with 40 assists.

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Southampton has compiled 31 goals and this team's xG for the year is at 35.3. Their goals against/90 minutes is 1.83 in addition to 72 saves, and they have a total of 4 clean sheets. This year, the Saints have a save % of 52.2 (134 shots on target against), and also have a ranking of 20th in the league with 24 points. Southampton is ranked 20th in regard to goals allowed with 66, and the squad's goal differential is sitting at -35. The Saints have earned a clean sheet % of 11.1 over the course of the season and 68 yellow card warnings. The Saints sport an average of 0.7 pts/match while accumulating 21 assists.

The guy protecting the net for Brighton is Jason Steele. Steele (95-75-114 record during his career) has earned 67 shutouts, which gives him a 23.6% shutout percentage. The goalie hailing from England has seen 1,144 shots tried against him in 284 career starts. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.34 (377 goals allowed) and he holds a save percentage of .671. Steele has seen the pitch for 25,408 mins and has earned 768 saves in his career.

Alex McCarthy will reside in front of the goal for Southampton. McCarthy has accumulated 63 clean sheets and has defended 1,267 shots attempted against him in 24,140 minutes in his career. He is the owner of a save % of .695 and his clean sheet rate sits at 23.5%. He has conceded 1.49 goals per 90 minutes while he holds a record of 84-77-108. In his career, McCarthy has allowed 399 goals and has accounted for 881 stops in 268 starts.

Danny Welbeck is a footballer you are going to want to keep your eye on for Brighton. Welbeck has been in the starting lineup in 187 matches so far in his career and tallies 0.33 goals per 90 minutes. The forward who is from England has accumulated 64 goals scored in 17,413 mins played. He has 27 assists while accumulating 13 yellow card cautions so far in his pro soccer career.

Southampton has an attacker in Adam Armstrong, who gives opposing coaches headaches. He has collected 13 yellow card warnings so far in his pro soccer career and has assisted on a goal 31 times. The forward representing England has been on the pitch for 20,865 minutes and has earned 88 goals. He is averaging 0.38 goals per 90 and has been a starter in 233 contests during his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Brighton (-286)

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