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Brighton vs Liverpool Prediction, 10/7/2023 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/2/2023

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Game: Brighton vs Liverpool

Date: Saturday, October 7, 2023

Location: The American Express Community Stadium in Brighton and Hove, Sussex

TV: fuboTV

Odds/Point Spread: Brighton (+187) Liverpool (+124)

Brighton (5-0-2) hosts Liverpool (5-1-1) at The American Express Community Stadium on Saturday. Brighton open at +187 while Liverpool are at +124. The over/under is set at 2.5. The starting goaltenders will be Jason Steele for Brighton and Alisson for Liverpool.

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The Seagulls have a ranking of 5th for goals expected with 14.2, and the expected goals against are sitting at 11.4. Brighton & Hove Albion has surrendered 14 goals while relinquishing 2.00 goals per 90 min, and opponents have accounted for 33 shots on target against them. Their goal differential is currently at 5 with the help of 19 goals scored and also 14 goals conceded. They haven't gotten a clean sheet on the campaign. Brighton has tallied 20 saves and have a SV rate of 60.6 so far this year. Brighton has amassed 22 yellow cards so far this year. So far this season, this team is sitting with an average of 2.14 points per fixture (15 points) and also are 1st in the league with 15 assists.

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The Reds average 2.3 points per match while accounting for 9 assists and 4 red cards. Liverpool F.C. has compliled a clean sheet percentage of 14.3 for the year as well as 15 yellow card cautions. Liverpool is ranked 4th concerning goals against having 7, and the goal differential sits at 9. For the year, Liverpool F.C. has a save percentage of 79.4 (34 SoT against), and also sit at 4th in EPL with 16 pts. The club's goals against/90 min is currently at 1.00 with 28 saves, and they have accumulated 1 clean sheet. Liverpool has recorded 16 goals and the team's expected goals on the year is sitting at 14.5.

The man who will defend the goal for Brighton is Jason Steele. Steele has seen the field for 26,128 minutes and has 792 stops in his pro soccer career. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.36 (394 goals allowed) and his save % is 67.1. The goalkeeper from England has faced 1,183 shots tried against him in 292 starting assignments. Steele (99-76-117 mark during his career) has accumulated 67 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 22.9% shutout percentage.

Alisson is expected to look after the net for Liverpool. Alisson has racked up 114 shutouts while defending 707 shots against him in 22,809 mins throughout his career. He has a save % of 76.1 and his clean sheet rate is currently at 44.7%. He has given up 0.82 goals per 90 while he holds a record of 163-52-40. During his career, Alisson has allowed 179 goals while earning 529 saves in 255 starting assignments.

Danny Welbeck is one player who can make an impact for Brighton. Welbeck has been in the starting lineup in 195 matchups in his career and tallies 0.33 goals per 90 minutes. The forward hailing from England has 65 goals scored in 17,930 mins played. He has 27 assists while tallying 14 yellow cards during his career.

Liverpool features an attacker in Mohamed Salah, who is known to give defenses fits. He has 13 yellow cards in his career and has assisted on a goal 90 times. The forward from Egypt has been on the pitch for 27,984 minutes while scoring 186 goals. He scores 0.60 goals per 90 mins and has had a starting assignment in 313 games thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Liverpool (+124)

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