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Brest vs PSG Prediction, 3/11/2023 Ligue 1 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 3/7/2023

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Game: Brest vs PSG

Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023

Location: Stade Francis-Le Blé in Brest, France

TV: Fanatiz USA

Odds/Point Spread: Brest (+630) PSG (-248)

Brest (5-8-13) are welcoming PSG (20-3-3) at Stade Francis-Le Blé on Saturday. PSG are at at -248 while the Pirates are priced at +630. The over/under is set at 2.5. The men protecting the net will be Marco Bizot for Brest and Gianluigi Donnarumma for PSG.

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The Pirates are ranked 18th in regard to expected goals having 28.7, and the team's expected goals against are at 40.5. Stade Brestois 29 has relinquished 42 goals while surrendering 1.62 goals per 90 min, and the opposition have amassed 132 shots on target against them. Their difference in goals is -15 by way of 27 goals finished and also 42 goals surrendered. They have recorded 5 shut outs, giving them a % of 19.2 on the season. Brest has recorded 90 SVs and also have a save% of 72.0 for the season. Brest has earned 45 yellow cards for the season and also 2 red cards. So far this season, this squad has put together an average of 0.88 points per match (23 pts) and they also rank 15th in Ligue 1 with 16 assists.

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PSG has totaled 66 goals and this squad's xG so far this season is 56.2. Their goals against/90 minutes is currently at 0.96 with 81 saves, and they have accounted for 11 clean sheets. On the campaign, the Parisians have a save % of 77.4 (106 SoTA), and they also have a rank of 1st in soccer with 63 pts. PSG is 1st when it comes to goals given up with 25, and the squad's goal differential is at 41. The Parisians have earned a shut out rate of 42.3 on the campaign and 43 yellow card cautions. The Parisians sport an average of 2.4 pts/match while accounting for 49 assists and 3 red cards.

The guy protecting the net for Brest will be Marco Bizot. Bizot (147-64-95 record during his soccer career) has accounted for 90 shutouts, which leaves him with a 29.6% clean sheet percentage. The goalie born in the Netherlands has faced 1,192 shots attempted against him in 304 starting assignments. His GA/90 is 1.28 (387 total goals given up) and his save percentage is .718. Bizot has seen the pitch for 27,272 mins and has 856 stops during his pro soccer career.

Gianluigi Donnarumma is expected to look after the goal for PSG. During his pro soccer career, Donnarumma has surrendered 269 goals and has tallied 720 saves in 258 starting assignments. He has conceded 1.05 goals per 90 mins while he holds a record of 141-59-56. He sports a save percentage of .740 and his shutout rate sits at 33.7%. Donnarumma has earned 87 clean sheets and has defended 973 shots against him in 22,961 career minutes.

Jeremy Le Douaron is one member of the side who should impact this matchup for Brest. Douaron has been in the starting lineup in 37 games during his soccer career and he scores 0.31 goals per 90 mins. The forward born in France has 12 goals in 3,532 minutes played. He has accounted for 7 assists while earning 1 yellow card during his pro soccer career.

PSG is being led by Lionel Messi, who should keep defenses up at night. He has earned 50 yellow cards so far in his career and has helped a teammate on a goal 217 times. The forward born in Argentina has earned 46,087 mins while he has scored 493 goals. He has an average of 0.96 goals per 90 minutes and has been in the starting lineup in 509 games thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's Ligue 1 game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Brest (+630)

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