Bournemouth vs Arsenal Prediction, 9/30/2023 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 9/26/2023

Game: Bournemouth vs Arsenal

Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

Location: Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth, England

TV: BT Sport

Odds/Point Spread: Bournemouth (+470) Arsenal (-196)

Bournemouth (0-3-3) will take on Arsenal (4-2-0) at Vitality Stadium on Saturday. The Cherries are priced at +470 and Arsenal are at -196. The over/under is set at 2.5. The goalies protecting the net are Neto for Bournemouth and Aaron Ramsdale for Arsenal.

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The Cherries sit at 14th in relation to xG with 7.5, and the team's expected goals against are coming in at 12.8. AFC Bournemouth has relinquished 11 goals while conceding 1.83 goals per 90 min, and the opposition are sitting with 35 SoT against them. Their difference in goals is currently at -6 by means of 5 goals finished and also 11 goals given up. They have amassed 1 clean sheet, giving them a rate of 16.7 so far this season. Bournemouth has recorded 24 SVs and they also hold a SV percentage of 68.6 for the season. Bournemouth has accumulated 11 yellow card warnings so far this season. This season, the team is sitting with an average of 0.50 pts/match (3 points) and sit at 14th in EPL with 4 assists.

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Arsenal has tallied 11 goals and the team's xG on the campaign is sitting at 11.1. This team's goals against per 90 minutes is 1.00 with 9 saves, and they have amassed 2 shut outs. Over the course of the season, the Gunners have a save rate of 60.0 (15 shots on target against), and also sit at 4th in the league with 14 pts. Arsenal ranks 6th in the matter of goals conceded having 6, and the goal differential is sitting at 5. The Gunners have compliled a clean sheet percentage of 33.3 this year and 11 yellow card warnings. The Gunners are averaging 2.3 pts per match while accounting for 7 assists and 1 red card.

The man who is expected to protect the net for Bournemouth is Neto. Neto (86-52-56 mark during his soccer career) has earned 61 shutouts, which leaves him with a 31.4% shutout rate. The keeper hailing from Brazil has faced 830 shots tried against him in 194 starts. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.12 (218 total goals surrendered) and he is the owner of a save percentage of 75.7. Neto has seen the pitch for a total of 17,460 mins and has tallied 612 stops so far in his pro soccer career.

Aaron Ramsdale will reside in front of the net for Arsenal. During his pro soccer career, Ramsdale has given up 271 goals and has racked up 525 stops in 192 starts. He has conceded 1.41 goals per 90 mins and he has earned a mark of 78-29-85. He is the owner of a save % of 70.5 and his clean sheet rate is currently at 25.0%. Ramsdale has recorded 48 shutouts and defended 767 shots attempted against him in 17,280 mins throughout his career.

Dominic Solanke is one player who can make a noticable difference for Bournemouth. He has 27 assists while accumulating 11 yellow card warnings during his pro soccer career. The forward who is from England has tallied 64 goals scored in 15,228 mins. Solanke has had a starting assignment in 167 games in his pro soccer career and he accounts for 0.38 goals per 90 mins.

Arsenal features a difference maker in Bukayo Saka, who should keep defenses up at night. The forward who is from England has accumulated 11,010 professional minutes while scoring 34 goals. He has an average of 0.28 G/90 and has had a starting assignment in 128 matches so far in his pro soccer career. He has earned 20 yellow card cautions thus far in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 28 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Bournemouth (+470)

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Pick:	CHICAGO BEARS +3
Start:	November 24, 2024 @ 1:00 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #256 Chicago Bears +3 over Minnesota Vikings (1p.m., Sunday, November 24 FOX) We used the Bears as a free play winner last Sunday and easily covered the spread and should have been an underdog outright winner. Now we will ride them for a second straight week against another NFC North rival, the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings are 8-2 on the season, yet are only around a field goal favorite. I still do not trust Sam Donald to win consistently over the course of a 17 game regular season. Minnesota is not as good as their 8-2 record would indicate and playing outdoors in Chicago on Sunday will cause issues for them on both sides of the ball. Chicago has been hit or miss this season, but they will be up to play another divisional rival and we expect them to take this down to the wire as well. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend Card featuring top plays in college and NFL football. Read More Read Less

Bournemouth vs Arsenal Prediction, 9/30/2023 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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