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Austin FC vs FC Dallas Prediction, 6/21/2023 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 6/19/2023

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Game: Austin FC vs FC Dallas

Date: Wednesday, June 21, 2023

Location: Q2 Stadium in Austin, TX

TV: Apple TV - MLS Season Pass

Odds/Point Spread: Austin (+113) Dallas (+240)

Q2 Stadium is the site where FCD (7-5-6) will go up against Austin FC (5-4-8) on Wednesday. Austin FC opens at +113 while FCD is at +240. The betting total comes in at 2.5. The goalies expected to start will be Brad Stuver for Austin and Maarten Paes for Dallas.

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Austin FC has a total of 60 SVs and they also are the owners of a save percentage of 70.1 on the season. This team's differential on goals is -9 by means of 18 goals tallied and 27 goals given up. On the campaign, the team is averaging 1.12 pts per match (19 points) and they also are ranked 12th in MLS with 16 assists. The Verde and Black have a ranking of 19th in the category of goals expected having 19.8, and their expected goals against are at 23.5. Austin has 30 yellow card warnings the year and also 1 red card. Austin has allowed 27 goals while allowing 1.59 goals per 90 minutes, and opponents have 87 shots on target against them. They have 3 clean sheets, which has them at a rate of 17.6% this year.

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So far this year, Dallas has a save % of 73.6 (72 SoT against), and have a rank of 11th in the league with 26 points. The Toros average 1.44 pts/match while amassing 19 assists and 1 red card. FC Dallas has accounted for 21 goals and the team's xG over the course of the season sits at 19.4. Dallas has a clean sheet rate of 22.2% this year and also 40 yellow cards. Their goals against per 90 minutes is 1.06 in addition to 54 saves, and they have amassed 4 clean sheets. Dallas has a rank of 12th concerning goals surrendered with 19, and their difference in goals is coming in at 2.

The man who is expected to protect the net for Austin is Brad Stuver. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.47 (450 goals conceded) and he holds a save % of .704. Stuver (108-81-117 record in his career) has accounted for 69 shutouts, which has him sitting with a 22.5% shutout rate. Stuver has defended the goal for 27,492 minutes and has tallied 1,069 stops in his career. The keeper from the United States has seen 1,519 shots attempted against him in 307 career starting assignments.

Maarten Paes will reside in front of the net for Dallas. He has allowed 1.32 goals per 90 while earning a mark of 105-77-90. Paes has tallied 64 shutouts while defending 1,254 shots against him in 24,501 career minutes. So far in his career, Paes has conceded 359 goals and has accumulated 898 saves in 270 starts. He holds a save % of .716 and his clean sheet rate is 23.7%.

Gyasi Zardes is a player who should impact this matchup for Austin. Zardes has been in the starting lineup in 251 matches during his career and he scores 0.40 goals per 90 minutes. The forward born in the United States has recorded 101 goals in 22,540 minutes played. He has totaled 25 assists while tallying 14 yellow cards during his career.

Dallas is being led by Alan Velasco, who can cause havoc on the pitch. He is averaging 0.16 goals per 90 minutes and has started 61 outings in his pro soccer career. The forward who is from Argentina has played 5,162 professional minutes while scoring 9 goals. He has tallied 18 yellow card warnings thus far in his career and has helped on a goal 11 times.

Who will win tonight's MLS game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Austin (+113)

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