Atletico Madrid vs Valencia Prediction, 3/18/2023 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/14/2023

Game: Atletico Madrid vs Valencia

Date: Saturday, March 18, 2023

Location: Estadio Wanda Metropolitano in Madrid, Spain

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Atletico Madrid (-157) Valencia (+470)

The Ches (7-5-13) are on their way to Estadio Wanda Metropolitano on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the Red and Whites (13-6-5). Atletico Madrid opens at -157 and Valencia are priced +470. The over/under comes in at 2.5. The expected starting goalies are Jan Oblak Atletico Madrid and Giorgi Mamardashvili Valencia.

soccer picks Jan Oblak Atletico Madrid predictions best bet odds

Atletico Madrid conceded 19 goals while allowing 0.79 goals per 90, and opponents amassed 73 shots on target against them. They amassed 9 shut outs, which had them sitting at a rate of 37.5 last year. Atletico Madrid amassed 64 yellow cards for the previous season and also 7 red cards. The Red and Whites were 4th in xG with 35.2, and their expected goals against were at 26.0. Last season, this squad had an average of 1.88 pts per match (45 pts) and they also were 3rd in soccer with 27 assists. Their difference in goals was 19 because of 38 goals notched and 19 goals relinquished. Atletico Madrid compiled 54 saves and they held a save% of 76.7 last year.

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Valencia amassed 28 goals and their xG last season was at 30.1. Their goals against per 90 was 1.12 in addition to 75 saves, and they tallied 5 shut outs. On the season, Valencia CF had a save % of 74.3 (101 SoT against), and also sat at 18th in the league with 26 pts. Valencia sat at 9th for goals against having 28, and their goal difference was 0. Valencia sat with a shut out % of 20.0 in the previous season and 69 yellow card warnings. The Ches sat with an average of 1.0 pts per fixture while accounting for 15 assists and 5 red cards.

The guy protecting the net for Atletico Madrid will be Jan Oblak. Oblak has defended the goal for 27,779 minutes and is sitting with 758 stops thus far in his career. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 0.77 (237 total goals given up) and he has a save percentage of .777. The goalie from Slovenia has faced 976 shots tried at him in 310 starts. Oblak (177-74-58 record in his career) has accumulated 152 shutouts, which has earned him a 49.0% shutout rate.

Giorgi Mamardashvili will be residing in front of the goal for Valencia. He has allowed 1.12 goals per 90 mins while holding a record of 7-5-13. Mamardashvili has racked up 5 shutouts while defending 101 shots attempted against him in 2,250 mins throughout his career. Thus far in his career, Mamardashvili has allowed 28 goals while tallying 75 stops in 25 starts. He has a save percentage of .743 and his clean sheet rate is 20.0%.

Antoine Griezmann is one player you are going to want to keep your eye on for Atletico Madrid. Griezmann has been given a starting assignment in 406 matches in his career and scores 0.44 G/90. The forward born in France has recorded 170 goals scored in 34,815 professional minutes. He has 64 assists while tallying 62 yellow card warnings thus far in his career.

Valencia has playmaker in Hugo Duro, who gets under the skin of opposing sides. He has tallied 10 yellow card cautions in his career and has helped a teammate on a goal 2 times. The forward who is from Spain has played 3,616 professional minutes and has earned 9 goals. He currently averages 0.22 goals per 90 minutes and has been given a starting assignment in 39 contests in his career.

Who will win tonight's La Liga game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Valencia (+470)

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Atletico Madrid vs Valencia Prediction, 3/18/2023 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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