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Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction, 2/19/2023 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 2/14/2023

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Game: Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao

Date: Sunday, February 19, 2023

Location: Estadio Wanda Metropolitano in Madrid, Spain

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Atletico Madrid (+114) Athletic Bilbao (+265)

Atletico Madrid (11-5-5) will try to defeat Athletic Bilbao (9-5-7) at Estadio Wanda Metropolitano on Sunday. Atletico Madrid opens at +114 and Athletic Bilbao are priced +265. The over/under has been set at 2.75. The starting goalies are Jan Oblak Atletico Madrid and Unai Simon Athletic Bilbao.

soccer picks Jan Oblak Atletico Madrid predictions best bet odds

The Red and Whites were 3rd for expected goals having 30.8, and the squad's xGA were sitting at 22.2. Atletico Madrid surrendered 17 goals while conceding 0.81 goals per 90, and opposing clubs accumulated 63 SoT against them. This team's differential on goals sat at 13 as a result of 30 goals scored in addition to 17 goals given up. They accounted for 8 shut outs, which had them at a rate of 38.1 over the course of last year. Atletico Madrid earned 46 saves and they had a save percentage of 76.2 in the previous season. Atletico Madrid recorded 58 yellow card warnings last year and also 6 red cards. Last campaign, the club had an average of 1.81 pts per fixture (38 pts) and were ranked 4th in soccer with 22 assists.

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The Lions held an average of 1.5 pts per match while compiling 23 assists and 3 red cards. Athletic Bilbao recorded a clean sheet percentage of 38.1 for the prior year and also 37 yellow card cautions. Athletic Bilbao had a rank of 4th in goals conceded with 22, and their goal differential was 9. For the season, Athletic Club had a save % of 70.0 (70 SoTA), and also were ranked 7th in soccer with 32 points. Their goals against/90 minutes was 1.05 in addition to 48 saves, and they compiled 8 shut outs. Athletic Bilbao compiled 31 goals and the team's goals expected for the prior year was 27.9.

The man who will protect the net for Atletico Madrid will be Jan Oblak. His goals against per 90 minutes is 0.77 (235 total goals conceded) and he holds a save % of .776. Oblak (175-73-58 record during his soccer career) has 151 clean sheets, which gives him a 49.2% clean sheet percentage. Oblak has played a total of 27,509 minutes and has accumulated 750 saves in his pro soccer career. The goalkeeper hailing from Slovenia has had 966 shots sent in his direction in 307 starts.

Unai Simon will be looking after the net for Athletic Bilbao. Simon has accumulated 29 clean sheets while he has seen 308 shots against him in 8,841 minutes in his career. He has earned a save % of .701 and his shutout rate is 29.3%. He has surrendered 1.06 goals per 90 while holding a record of 34-31-34. Thus far in his career, Simon has conceded 104 goals and has tallied 216 saves in 99 starting assignments.

Antoine Griezmann is one member of the squad who can create chances for Atletico Madrid. The forward who is from France has 168 goals in 34,546 professional minutes played. Griezmann has started 403 games in his career and he scores 0.44 goals per 90 minutes. He has 62 assists while tallying 62 yellow cards during his career.

Athletic Bilbao is being led by Raul Garcia, who gives opposing coaches headaches. He scores 0.26 goals per 90 minutes and has started 397 games in his career. The forward who is from Spain has been on the pitch for 35,342 mins and has scored 103 goals. He has accumulated 142 yellow card cautions during his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 45 times.

Who will win tonight's La Liga game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Athletic Bilbao (+265)

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