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Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC Prediction, 3/4/2023 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 2/28/2023

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Game: Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC

Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: Apple TV - MLS Season Pass

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-154) Toronto (+370) Mercedes-Benz Stadium is the location where TFC (9-7-18 last season) will attempt to defeat Atlanta United (10-10-14 last year) on Saturday. TFC is priced at +370 while the 5 Stripes are at -154. The over/under is 3. The goalkeepers who are expected to start will be Brad Guzan for Atlanta and Sean Johnson for Toronto.

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Atlanta accounted for 71 SVs and they also were the owners of a save% of 61.6 in the prior season. Their goal differential sat at -6 by way of 48 goals tallied and 54 goals allowed. The previous year, this team finished with an average of 1.18 points per contest (40 points) and also had a rank of 8th in soccer with 37 assists. The United sat at 5th for expected goals having 55.8, and their xGA came in at 50.2. Atlanta amassed 69 yellow cards in the previous season as well as 3 red cards. Atlanta allowed 54 goals while conceding 1.59 goals per 90 min, and their opponents had 125 shots on target against them. They amassed 6 shut outs, which had them sitting at a percentage of 17.6% last season.

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The Reds finished with an average of 1.00 point per match while earning 31 assists and 2 red cards. Toronto compiled a clean sheet % of 8.8% the prior year and also 66 yellow card warnings. Toronto sat at 26th in relation to goals surrendered having 66, and the team's goal difference sat at -17. On the campaign, Toronto had a save rate of 65.8 (184 SoT against), and they also ranked 27th in soccer with 34 points. Their goals against per 90 was sitting at 1.94 in addition to 119 saves, and they accumulated 3 clean sheets. Toronto compiled 49 goals and this squad's expected goals over the course of last season was 42.3.

The man who will defend the goal for Atlanta is Brad Guzan. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.40 (561 total goals given up) and his save percentage is .698. Guzan (138-97-165 record in his career) has tallied 108 shutouts, which gives him a 27.1% shutout percentage. Guzan has seen the pitch for 35,944 minutes and has accumulated 1,260 stops so far in his career. The goalie hailing from the United States has faced 1,806 shots attempted at him in 399 starting assignments.

Sean Johnson will be looking after the goal for New York City. He has allowed 1.28 goals per 90 mins and he has a record of 163-110-122. Johnson has earned 110 clean sheets and has defended 1,658 shots attempted against him in 35,526 career mins. During his career, Johnson has allowed 504 goals and has accumulated 1,170 stops in 395 starts. He has earned a save percentage of .706 and his shutout rate is 27.8%.

Luiz Araujo is a member of the team who has a chance to score for Atlanta. He has accounted for 19 assists while tallying 27 yellow card cautions during his soccer career. The forward born in Brazil has earned 26 goals in 9,488 minutes. Araujo has been a starter in 102 contests in his career and scores 0.25 goals per 90 minutes.

Toronto has an attacker in Jonathan Osorio, who is a thorn in the side of defenses. He is currently averaging 0.20 G/90 and has started 207 games so far in his career. The midfielder representing Canada has been on the pitch for 18,577 professional minutes while earning 42 goals. He has earned 22 yellow card warnings so far in his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 32 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (-154)

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