Atlanta United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction, 2/25/2023 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 2/21/2023

Game: Atlanta United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes

Date: Saturday, February 25, 2023

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: Apple TV - Free

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-165) San Jose (+400)

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Mercedes-Benz Stadium is where the Earthquakes (8-11-15 last season) will attempt to defeat Atlanta United (10-10-14 last year) on Saturday. The 5 Stripes open at -165 while the Earthquakes are at +400. The total is set at 3. The expected starting goaltenders are Brad Guzan for Atlanta and JT Marcinkowski for San Jose.

Atlanta amassed 71 saves and also held a save percentage of 61.6 in the prior season. This team's differential on goals was -6 by way of 48 goals scored and 54 goals given up. Over the course of the prior season, this team finished with an average of 1.18 pts/match (40 points) and also had a rank of 8th in MLS with 37 assists. The United were 5th in relation to expected goals with 55.8, and the squad's expected goals against sat at 50.2. Atlanta were sitting with 69 yellow cards last season and 3 red cards. Atlanta surrendered 54 goals while allowing 1.59 goals per 90, and the opposition accumulated 125 SoT on them. They recorded 6 clean sheets, which gave them a % of 17.6% last season.

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The Earthquakes held an average of 1.03 points per contest while earning 35 assists and 1 red card. San Jose amassed a clean sheet percentage of 11.8% the previous season and also 66 yellow cards. San Jose ranked 25th in goals conceded with 69, and the team's goal differential sat at -17. Last year, San Jose had a save percentage of 66.1 (186 SoT against), and they also had a ranking of 26th in MLS with 35 pts. The team's goals against/90 min was sitting at 2.03 with 117 saves, and they compiled 4 clean sheets. San Jose amassed 52 goals and the squad's expected goals over the course of last year was at 44.9.

The man who will protect the net for Atlanta is Brad Guzan. Guzan has seen the field for 35,944 minutes and has earned 1,260 saves so far in his career. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.40 (561 total goals allowed) and he holds a save percentage of .698. The goalkeeper hailing from the United States has seen 1,806 shots attempted at him in 399 career starts. Guzan (138-97-165 mark during his career) has recorded 108 clean sheets, which has him sitting with a 27.1% clean sheet rate.

JT Marcinkowski is expected to look after the net for San Jose. Marcinkowski has 27 clean sheets while defending 836 shots against him in 14,625 career mins. He has a save percentage of .685 and his clean sheet rate sits at 16.6%. He has allowed 1.74 goals per 90 minutes while earning a record of 53-48-62. So far in his pro soccer career, Marcinkowski has allowed 282 goals while earning 573 stops in 163 starts.

Luiz Araujo is one member of the team who can make a difference on the pitch for Atlanta. He has totaled 19 assists while tallying 27 yellow card warnings in his pro soccer career. The forward from Brazil has accumulated 26 goals in 9,488 minutes. Araujo has been given a starting assignment in 102 contests so far in his pro soccer career and he tallies 0.25 goals per 90 mins.

San Jose is being led onto the pitch by Cristian Espinoza, who the defense is sure to gameplan in this matchup. He has accumulated 29 yellow card cautions during his career and has helped a teammate on a goal 43 times. The forward from Argentina has been on the field for 13,208 mins and has scored 21 goals. He currently averages 0.14 goals per 90 and has been a starter in 156 matches in his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's MLS game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (-165)

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Atlanta United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction, 2/25/2023 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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