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Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, 7/2/2023 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 6/26/2023

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Game: Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union

Date: Sunday, July 2, 2023

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: Apple TV - MLS Season Pass

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+132) Philadelphia (+189)

The United (7-8-5) will go up against the Philadelphia Union (10-4-5) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday. The Zolos are priced at +189 and the 5 Stripes are at +132. The over/under comes in at 2.5. The expected starting goalkeepers are Brad Guzan for Atlanta and Joe Bendik for Philadelphia.

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Atlanta United FC has earned 45 SVs and they also are the owners of a save percentage of 58.2 on the year. This team's differential on goals is at 2 with the help of 37 goals tallied and also 35 goals allowed. This season, the club is averaging 1.45 points per match (29 points) and are ranked 2nd in MLS with 24 assists. The United sit at 7th for expected goals having 27.7, and their xGA are sitting at 24.7. Atlanta has compiled 47 yellow cards so far this season and also 3 red cards. The United have given up 35 goals while giving up 1.75 G/90, and opponents have recorded 79 shots on target on them. They have tallied 4 clean sheets, giving them a percentage of 20.0% the season.

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The Union average 1.79 points per match while amassing 22 assists and 2 red cards. The Union have accumulated a clean sheet rate of 36.8% on the campaign in addition to 43 yellow cards. Philadelphia has a ranking of 1st in the matter of goals surrendered having 20, and the squad's difference in goals is coming in at 14. the year, the Union have a save rate of 70.2 (57 SoT against), and rank 4th in MLS with 34 points. Their goals against/90 min is currently at 1.05 with 39 saves, and they have accumulated 7 shutouts. Philadelphia has earned 34 goals and their xG the season is currently at 28.3.

The man who will protect the net for Atlanta will be Brad Guzan. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 0.91 (150 goals given up) and he has a save % of .693. Guzan (72-42-51 mark in his career) has totaled 50 clean sheets, which gives him a 30.3% clean sheet percentage. Guzan has been on the pitch a total of 14,799 minutes and has earned 325 saves in his pro soccer career. The keeper from the United States has had 469 shots tried at him in 165 career starting assignments.

Joe Bendik will be looking after the goal for Philadelphia. He has given up 1.76 goals per 90 minutes and he has earned a mark of 47-50-90. Bendik has tallied 23 shutouts while defending 912 shots tried against him in 16,857 minutes throughout his career. So far in his career, Bendik has allowed 330 goals and has totaled 583 saves in 185 starts. He holds a save percentage of .639 and his clean sheet rate is 12.4%.

Thiago Almada is one member of the side who can create chances for Atlanta. The midfielder born in Argentina has earned 24 goals in 7,459 professional minutes. Almada has been in the starting lineup in 78 matches during his pro soccer career and has 0.29 goals per 90 mins. He has totaled 21 assists while accumulating 9 yellow cards in his pro soccer career.

Philadelphia features a game changer in Julian Carranza, who defenders will be preparing in this game. He has accumulated 31 yellow card warnings during his soccer career and has assisted on a goal 9 times. The forward from Argentina has been on the pitch for 7,596 mins while scoring 37 goals. He scores 0.44 goals per 90 minutes and has been in the starting lineup in 81 outings in his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's MLS game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+189)

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