Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction, 4/1/2023 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 3/28/2023

Game: Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls

Date: Saturday, April 1, 2023

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: Apple TV - MLS Season Pass

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+114) New York (+238)

The United (3-1-1) will try to defeat the New York Red Bulls (1-3-1) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Saturday. The Red Bulls are priced at +238 and the 5 Stripes are at +114. The total is set at 2.5. The goalies protecting the net will be Brad Guzan for Atlanta and Carlos Coronel for New York.

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The United are 6th when it comes to expected goals having 7.1, and their expected goals against are 5.4. The United have conceded 9 goals while giving up 1.80 goals per 90 min, and opponents have accumulated 19 SoT on them. The team's differential on goals is at 3 as a result of 12 goals compiled and also 9 goals given up. They have earned 1 clean sheet, which has them sitting at a rate of 20.0% this season. Atlanta United FC has tallied 10 SVs and they also hold a save rate of 52.6 on the year. Atlanta has compiled 11 yellow card warnings so far this year. This year, this team averages 2.00 pts/match (10 points) and sit at 1st in the league with 8 assists.

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The Red Bulls hold an average of 1.20 points per contest while tallying 2 assists. New York has compliled a clean sheet % of 20.0% over the course of the season in addition to 12 yellow card warnings. New York ranks 16th in relation to goals surrendered with 4, and their goal differential is coming in at 0. This year, New York has a save rate of 57.1 (7 SoTA), and they also sit at 18th in MLS with 6 points. The club's goals against/90 minutes is 0.80 with 4 saves, and they have a total of 1 clean sheet. The New York Red Bulls have accounted for 4 goals and this squad's expected goals so far this year sits at 5.6.

The guy defending the goal for Atlanta will be Brad Guzan. Guzan has defended the goal for 14,079 mins and has tallied 303 stops in his career. His goals against per 90 mins is 0.88 (138 goals allowed) and he is the owner of a save % of .697. The goalie hailing from the United States has faced 435 shots attempted at him in 157 starts. Guzan (70-37-50 record in his career) has earned 48 shutouts, which gives him a 30.6% shutout percentage.

Carlos Coronel will look after the net for New York. In his pro soccer career, Coronel has surrendered 51 goals while tallying 83 stops in 35 starts. He has allowed 1.46 goals per 90 while holding a record of 14-8-13. He sports a save % of .638 and his clean sheet rate sits at 11.4%. Coronel has recorded 4 clean sheets while seeing 130 shots against him in 3,150 career mins.

Luiz Araujo is a player who can be a force in the game for Atlanta. Araujo has been given a starting assignment in 107 outings in his career and he has earned 0.25 G/90. The forward from Brazil has earned 28 goals scored in 9,937 professional minutes played. He has accounted for 19 assists while tallying 27 yellow card cautions during his soccer career.

New York has playmaker in Luquinhas, who the defense is sure to gameplan in this matchup. He has an average of 0.13 goals per 90 minutes and has started 108 outings during his pro soccer career. The midfielder hailing from Brazil has totaled 9,414 minutes while scoring 14 goals. He has 13 yellow card warnings so far in his career and has helped a teammate on a goal 14 times.

Who will win tonight's MLS game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (+114)

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Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction, 4/1/2023 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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