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Atlanta United FC vs D.C. United Prediction, 6/10/2023 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 6/5/2023

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Game: Atlanta United FC vs D.C. United

Date: Saturday, June 10, 2023

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: Apple TV - MLS Season Pass

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-131) DC (+320)

The United (6-6-4) are hosting D.C. United (6-5-6) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Saturday. The Black-and-Red are priced at +320 and the 5 Stripes are at -131. The total has been set at 2.5. The goalkeepers who are expected to start will be Brad Guzan for Atlanta and Tyler Miller for DC.

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The United are ranked 6th when talking about expected goals with 24.1, and their expected goals against sit at 19.4. The United have surrendered 28 goals while allowing 1.75 goals per 90, and opponents have a total of 58 shots on target on them. The team's differential on goals is at 4 with the help of 32 goals finished in addition to 28 goals surrendered. They have compiled 3 shut outs, which has them at a rate of 18.8% over the course of the season. Atlanta United FC has recorded 31 SVs and they also hold a save % of 55.2 over the course of the season. Atlanta has 36 yellow cards the season and 3 red cards. On the year, this squad is sitting with an average of 1.50 pts per contest (24 points) and they also have a ranking of 2nd in the league with 19 assists.

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This season, the United have a save % of 69.8 (63 SoTA), and also have a rank of 10th in the league with 23 pts. The United have put together an average of 1.35 pts per contest while accounting for 16 assists. D.C. United has totaled 24 goals and their goals expected over the course of the season sits at 21.0. The United have accumulated a clean sheet % of 29.4% the year and 36 yellow cards. Their goals against/90 minutes is 1.24 with 42 saves, and they have a total of 5 shutouts. D.C. ranks 11th in relation to goals relinquished having 21, and the goal differential is 3.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Atlanta is Brad Guzan. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 0.89 (143 goals given up) and he has earned a save % of .694. Guzan (71-40-50 record in his career) has earned 49 shutouts, which gives him a 30.4% clean sheet percentage. Guzan has been on the pitch a total of 14,439 mins and is sitting with 311 stops during his career. The goalie from the United States has seen 448 shots sent in his direction in 161 career starts.

Tyler Miller will reside in front of the goal for DC. Thus far in his career, Miller has allowed 267 goals and has racked up 598 saves in 206 starting assignments. He has allowed 1.29 goals per 90 and he has earned a mark of 68-63-75. He sports a save % of .691 and his clean sheet rate sits at 27.7%. Miller has totaled 57 clean sheets while defending 866 shots attempted against him in 18,608 mins throughout his career.

Derrick Etienne is one man who can be a force on the pitch for Atlanta. He has accounted for 26 assists while earning 18 yellow card warnings in his pro soccer career. The forward hailing from Haiti has tallied 30 goals in 12,071 mins played. Etienne has been in the starting lineup in 133 games so far in his pro soccer career while he scores 0.22 goals per 90 mins.

DC is being led onto the pitch by Christian Benteke, who should keep defenses up at night. The forward who is from Belgium has played 28,940 mins and has scored 138 goals. He currently averages 0.43 goals per 90 and has started 313 matches during his soccer career. He has earned 22 yellow card cautions in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 38 times.

Who will win tonight's MLS game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (-131)

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