Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire Prediction, 4/23/2023 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 4/19/2023

Game: Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire

Date: Sunday, April 23, 2023

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: Apple TV - MLS Season Pass

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-149) Chicago (+380)

The Fire (2-4-1) are on their way to Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the 5 Stripes (4-3-1). The Fire are priced at +380 while the 5 Stripes are at -149. The over/under comes in at 2.5. The goaltenders protecting the net will be Quentin Westberg for Atlanta and Chris Brady for Chicago.

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The United have relinquished 12 goals while giving up 1.50 goals per 90, and their oppositition are sitting with 28 SoT against them. They have accounted for 2 clean sheets, which has them at a rate of 25.0% on the year. Atlanta has earned 17 yellow cards the season and 1 red card. The United are ranked 9th when it comes to goals expected with 11.0, and their xGA are at 8.1. On the campaign, this team is sitting with an average of 1.88 points per match (15 pts) and they also are ranked 2nd in MLS with 11 assists. Their goal differential is currently at 4 by way of 16 goals earned in addition to 12 goals relinquished. Atlanta United FC has earned 16 SVs and they are the owners of a SV percentage of 57.1 on the year.

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The Chicago Fire have totaled 11 goals and the team's expected goals so far this season is at 9.4. This team's goals against per 90 is 1.43 in addition to 23 saves, and they have tallied 1 clean sheet. So far this season, Chicago has a save % of 72.7 (33 SoT against), and also are ranked 14th in MLS with 10 points. Chicago is ranked 11th concerning goals relinquished with 10, and their goal differential is sitting at 1. Chicago has earned a shut out rate of 14.3% this year and 16 yellow card cautions. The Fire average 1.43 points per match while having 6 assists and 2 red cards.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Atlanta will be Quentin Westberg. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.48 (168 goals allowed) and his save percentage is .643. Westberg (38-32-44 record during his career) has tallied 27 shutouts, which gives him a 23.9% clean sheet percentage. Westberg has seen the pitch a total of 10,197 mins and has tallied 284 stops in his pro soccer career. The goalie from the United States has had 442 shots tried at him in 113 career starting assignments.

Chris Brady is expected to look after the net for Chicago. Brady has racked up 5 clean sheets while defending 35 shots attempted against him in 1,440 minutes in his career. He has a save percentage of .714 and his clean sheet rate is 31.3%. He has conceded 0.63 goals per 90 while earning a record of 5-9-2. During his pro soccer career, Brady has conceded 10 goals and has 25 saves in 16 starts.

Luiz Araujo is one guy who should impact this matchup for Atlanta. He has 20 assists while earning 28 yellow cards in his career. The forward born in Brazil has earned 28 goals scored in 10,200 professional minutes played. Araujo has been in the starting lineup in 110 games during his career and he accounts for 0.25 goals per 90.

Chicago features Kacper Przybylko, who is a thorn in the side of defenses. He has accounted for 16 yellow card warnings in his pro soccer career and has assisted on a goal 23 times. The forward from Poland has totaled 15,263 mins and has scored 64 goals. He is currently averaging 0.38 goals per 90 mins and has been a starter in 167 games in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLS game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (+380)

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Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire Prediction, 4/23/2023 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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