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Atalanta vs Lecce Prediction, 2/19/2023 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 2/14/2023

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Game: Atalanta vs Lecce

Date: Sunday, February 19, 2023

Location: Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia in Bergamo, Italy

TV: Paramount +

Odds/Point Spread: Atalanta (-194) Lecce (+520)

Atalanta (12-5-5) will try to defeat Lecce (5-9-8) at Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia on Sunday. The Yellow and Reds are at at +520 and the Goddess are at -194. The over/under is 2.5. The men protecting the net are Juan Musso for Atalanta and Wladimiro Falcone for Lecce.

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Atalanta B.C. has given up 24 goals while conceding 1.09 goals per 90 minutes, and the opposition have recorded 87 shots on target on them. They have recorded 8 clean sheets, giving them a percentage of 36.4 this season. Atalanta is sitting with 54 yellow cards for the year and also 3 red cards. The Goddess sit at 3rd for expected goals with 36.0, and their expected goals against sit at 23.4. For the year, the squad is sitting with an average of 1.86 points per match (41 points) and are 3rd in soccer with 28 assists. The team's goal differential is at 17 by way of 41 goals finished and 24 goals given up. Atalanta has tallied 64 saves and they also have earned a save percentage of 73.6 for the season.

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Lecce has compiled 22 goals and their expected goals over the course of the season is sitting at 19.0. This team's goals against/90 minutes is at 1.14 with 70 saves, and they have recorded 3 clean sheets. On the year, U.S. Lecce has a save percentage of 77.7 (94 shots on target against), and they also rank 15th in the league with 24 points. Lecce ranks 11th in relation to goals allowed having 25, and the team's goal difference is coming in at -3. U.S. Lecce has accumulated a clean sheet percentage of 13.6 for the year as well as 51 yellow cards. The Yellow and Reds are averaging 1.1 pts/match while accumulating 14 assists and 2 red cards.

The man who will defend the goal for Atalanta is Juan Musso. His GA/90 is 1.34 (187 total goals surrendered) and he holds a save % of .745. Musso (52-35-54 record during his career) has tallied 38 clean sheets, which has earned him a 27.0% shutout rate. Musso has played for a total of 12,604 mins and has accumulated 458 saves in his career. The keeper hailing from Argentina has seen 615 shots attempted against him in 141 starting assignments.

Wladimiro Falcone will be residing in front of the goal for Lecce. He has surrendered 1.22 goals per 90 minutes and he has a record of 11-26-23. Falcone has accumulated 12 shutouts while seeing 299 shots against him in 5,400 career minutes. During his career, Falcone has allowed 73 goals and has earned 234 stops in 60 starting assignments. He has a save % of .783 and his shutout rate is currently at 20.0%.

Duvan Zapata is one member of the squad who can be a force in the game for Atalanta. He has totaled 34 assists while tallying 21 yellow card cautions in his pro soccer career. The forward representing Columbia has totaled 97 goals in 15,936 mins played. Zapata has been given a starting assignment in 182 outings during his career and he accounts for 0.55 goals per 90 minutes.

Lecce features a difference maker in Assan Ceesay, who has been known to frustrate defenses. He has an average of 0.37 G/90 and has started 92 matches so far in his career. The forward from Gambia has totaled 8,090 mins while scoring 33 goals. He has earned 26 yellow cards so far in his career and has assisted on a goal 18 times.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Lecce (+520)

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