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Aston Villa vs Luton Town Prediction, 10/28/2023 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/24/2023

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Game: Aston Villa vs Luton Town

Date: Saturday, October 28, 2023

Location: Villa Park in Birmingham, England

TV: Sky Sports

Odds/Point Spread: Aston Villa (-400) Luton Town (+930)

Aston Villa (6-1-2) will try to beat Luton Town (1-2-6) at Villa Park on Saturday. The Villains are priced at -400 and Luton Town are at +930. The betting total is set at 2.5. The expected starting goaltenders are Emiliano Martinez for Aston Villa and Thomas Kaminski for Luton Town.

soccer picks Emiliano Martinez Aston Villa predictions best bet odds

Aston Villa F.C. has given up 13 goals while surrendering 1.44 goals per 90 min, and opponents have amassed 37 SoT against them. They have accounted for 2 shut outs, which has them sitting at a % of 22.2 on the season. Aston Villa has amassed 22 yellow cards this year. The Villains have a rank of 4th in relation to goals expected with 17.0, and their xGA are sitting at 14.1. This year, this club comes in with an average of 2.11 points per match (19 points) and also sit at 4th in soccer with 15 assists. This team's differential on goals is at 10 as a result of 23 goals scored as well as 13 goals allowed. Aston Villa has earned 25 SVs and are the owners of a save percentage of 64.9 on the year.

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This year, Luton Town F.C. has a save percentage of 66.7 (48 SoTA), and also are ranked 17th in the league with 5 points. The Hatters hold an average of 0.6 pts per fixture while amassing 4 assists. Luton Town has amassed 8 goals and their xG over the course of the season is at 11.2. The Hatters have accumulated 15 yellow cards. This team's goals against per 90 is 1.89 in addition to 31 saves. Luton Town ranks 17th when talking about goals against with 17, and their goal difference is at -9.

The guy defending the goal for Aston Villa is Emiliano Martinez. Martinez has been on the field for 16,688 minutes and has earned 573 stops in his career. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.26 (233 total goals allowed) and his save % is 73.3. The goalkeeper hailing from Argentina has had 808 shots attempted against him in 186 career starts. Martinez (74-39-73 record during his career) has recorded 60 clean sheets, which gives him a 32.3% clean sheet percentage.

Thomas Kaminski will be residing in front of the net for Luton Town. Kaminski has accumulated 79 shutouts and defended 1,450 shots against him in 29,860 mins throughout his career. He is the owner of a save % of 71.3 and his clean sheet rate is 23.8%. He has surrendered 1.34 goals per 90 minutes while holding a record of 119-78-132. During his career, Kaminski has conceded 443 goals and has earned 1,012 saves in 332 starting assignments.

Ollie Watkins is one player you are going to want to keep your eye on for Aston Villa. Watkins has started 289 matches thus far in his career and has 0.38 goals per 90 minutes. The forward who is from England has earned 110 goals in 26,007 mins. He has totaled 37 assists while accumulating 41 yellow card warnings in his career.

Luton Town has a player in Carlton Morris, who opposing coaches will have to gameplan for in this fixture. He has accumulated 43 yellow cards during his soccer career and has assisted on a goal 23 times. The forward hailing from England has accumulated 16,652 mins while earning 59 goals. He currently averages 0.32 goals per 90 minutes and has been in the starting lineup in 185 matches in his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's EPL game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Aston Villa (-400)

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