Aston Villa vs Brighton Prediction, 9/30/2023 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 9/26/2023

Game: Aston Villa vs Brighton

Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

Location: Villa Park in Birmingham, England

TV: BT Sport

Odds/Point Spread: Aston Villa (+146) Brighton (+161)

Aston Villa (4-0-2) welcomes Brighton (5-0-1) at Villa Park on Saturday. The Villains are priced at +146 while Brighton are at +161. The total is 2.5. The goalkeepers who are expected to start will be Emiliano Martinez for Aston Villa and Jason Steele for Brighton.

soccer picks John McGinn Aston Villa predictions best bet odds

Aston Villa F.C. has conceded 10 goals while allowing 1.67 goals per 90 min, and their oppositition have accounted for 27 shots on target against them. They have 2 clean sheets, which gives them a percentage of 33.3 this season. Aston Villa has compiled 16 yellow cards over the course of the season. The Villains rank 5th when it comes to expected goals having 11.9, and the squad's expected goals against sit at 9.6. This season, the team is sitting with an average of 2.00 pts/match (12 pts) and are ranked 8th in EPL with 7 assists. The team's goal differential is currently at 2 with the help of 12 goals accumulated as well as 10 goals allowed. Aston Villa has tallied 18 SVs and have earned a SV percentage of 63.0 on the season.

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Brighton has recorded 18 goals and the squad's expected goals this season is 12.5. Their goals against/90 minutes is 1.33 in addition to 16 saves. This season, Brighton & Hove Albion has a save % of 70.8 (24 SoTA), and they also are ranked 3rd in soccer with 15 pts. Brighton ranks 2nd when it comes to goals relinquished having 8, and their goal differential is sitting at 10. Brighton & Hove Albion has recorded 18 yellow card cautions. The Seagulls sport an average of 2.5 pts per match while totaling 14 assists.

The man defending the goal for Aston Villa will be Emiliano Martinez. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.26 (231 total goals given up) and he holds a save % of 73.3. Martinez (73-38-73 record in his career) has accumulated 60 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 32.6% shutout percentage. Martinez has seen the field for 16,508 minutes and is sitting with 569 saves during his pro soccer career. The keeper born in Argentina has had 802 shots attempted against him in 184 starting assignments.

Jason Steele will be looking after the goal for Brighton. So far in his career, Steele has allowed 388 goals and has 788 stops in 291 starting assignments. He has given up 1.34 goals per 90 mins and he has a mark of 99-76-116. He sports a save % of 67.4 and his shutout rate is 23.0%. Steele has racked up 67 shutouts while defending 1,174 shots tried against him in 26,038 career mins.

Ollie Watkins is a member of the side you are going to want to keep your eye on for Aston Villa. The forward who is from England has 107 goals scored in 25,827 professional minutes. Watkins has had a starting assignment in 287 outings in his career and he tallies 0.37 goals per 90 minutes. He has totaled 35 assists while tallying 41 yellow card cautions so far in his career.

Brighton is being led by Danny Welbeck, who should keep defenses up at night. The forward representing England has been on the pitch for 17,885 mins and he has scored 65 goals. He scores 0.33 goals per 90 and has been in the starting lineup in 194 contests so far in his career. He has totaled 13 yellow card cautions during his pro soccer career and has helped on a goal 27 times.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Aston Villa (+146)

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Aston Villa vs Brighton Prediction, 9/30/2023 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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