Arsenal vs Southampton Prediction, 4/21/2023 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/19/2023

Game: Arsenal vs Southampton

Date: Friday, April 21, 2023

Location: Emirates Stadium in London, England

TV: fuboTV

Odds/Point Spread: Arsenal (-526) Southampton (+1375)

Emirates Stadium is the site where Southampton (6-5-20) will compete against Arsenal (23-5-3) on Friday. The Gunners open at -526 while Southampton are at +1375. The over/under is set at 2.5. The expected starting goalies are Aaron Ramsdale for Arsenal and Gavin Bazunu for Southampton.

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The Gunners are 2nd for goals expected with 61.6, and the xGA are 33.4. The Gunners have conceded 31 goals while allowing 1.00 goals per 90 minutes, and the opposition have a total of 104 SoT against them. This team's goal differential is at 43 with 74 goals tallied and 31 goals allowed. They have accumulated 12 clean sheets, which puts them at a % of 38.7 so far this season. Arsenal has accumulated 74 saves and they also have a save percentage of 73.1 this year. Arsenal has accumulated 45 yellow card warnings on the season. On the campaign, this team has an average of 2.39 pts per contest (74 pts) and have a rank of 2nd in the league with 54 assists.

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Southampton has earned 24 goals and the team's goals expected on the year is sitting at 29.2. The club's goals against per 90 min is currently at 1.71 in addition to 65 saves, and they are sitting with 4 clean sheets. This year, the Saints have a save rate of 54.8 (115 shots on target against), and they also sit at 20th in the league with 23 points. Southampton has a rank of 19th when it comes to goals conceded with 53, and the team's difference in goals is coming in at -29. The Saints have amassed a clean sheet % of 12.9 on the campaign and 57 yellow cards. The Saints hold an average of 0.7 points per contest while accounting for 16 assists.

The man who will protect the net for Arsenal is Aaron Ramsdale. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.41 (255 goals allowed) and he is the owner of a save % of .691. Ramsdale (72-27-82 mark during his soccer career) has accumulated 45 clean sheets, which has earned him a 24.9% shutout percentage. Ramsdale has played for a total of 16,290 minutes and has earned 490 saves in his pro soccer career. The goalkeeper from England has seen 709 shots attempted at him in 181 starting assignments.

Gavin Bazunu will be looking after the goal for Southampton. Bazunu has recorded 24 shutouts and has seen 438 shots attempted against him in 9,360 mins in his career. He holds a save % of .651 and his clean sheet rate sits at 23.1%. He has conceded 1.53 goals per 90 and he has earned a record of 29-28-47. So far in his career, Bazunu has allowed 159 goals while totaling 285 stops in 104 starts.

Bukayo Saka is one guy who can be a force on the pitch for Arsenal. The forward who is from England has totaled 29 goals in 9,906 mins. Saka has been in the starting lineup in 115 matchups so far in his pro soccer career and he has earned 0.26 goals per 90 minutes. He has 25 assists while earning 19 yellow cards during his soccer career.

Southampton features a game changer in Adam Armstrong, who defenders will be preparing for in this game. The forward representing England has 20,669 professional minutes and he has scored 88 goals. He currently averages 0.38 goals per 90 minutes and has been in the starting lineup in 231 matches during his career. He has tallied 12 yellow card warnings so far in his pro soccer career and has helped a teammate on a goal 31 times.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Arsenal (-526)

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Arsenal vs Southampton Prediction, 4/21/2023 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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