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Arsenal vs Leeds United Prediction, 4/1/2023 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/28/2023

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Game: Arsenal vs Leeds United

Date: Saturday, April 1, 2023

Location: Emirates Stadium in London, England

TV: fuboTV

Odds/Point Spread: Arsenal (-340) Leeds United (+860)

The Whites (6-8-13) are on their way to Emirates Stadium on Saturday where they will take on the Gunners (22-3-3). The Gunners open at -340 while Leeds United are at +860. The total comes in at 2.75. The goalies expected to start will be Aaron Ramsdale for Arsenal and Illan Meslier for Leeds United.

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The Gunners have a ranking of 2nd when it comes to xG having 53.8, and the squad's xGA sit at 27.0. The Gunners have given up 26 goals while conceding 0.93 goals per 90 min, and their oppositition have amassed 90 shots on target against them. Their differential on goals is currently at 40 with 66 goals finished as well as 26 goals given up. They have a total of 12 shut outs, which puts them at a % of 42.9 for the year. Arsenal has amassed 65 SVs and they have earned a save percentage of 73.3 for the season. Arsenal has 39 yellow cards on the season. Over the course of the season, the squad averages 2.46 pts per contest (69 points) and also are ranked 2nd in soccer with 48 assists.

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On the season, Leeds has a save percentage of 65.9 (123 SoTA), and also rank 15th in the league with 26 points. The Whites come in with an average of 1.0 pts per contest while amassing 25 assists and 2 red cards. Leeds United has accounted for 35 goals and their goals expected on the year is sitting at 34.0. Leeds has earned a clean sheet percentage of 18.5 for the year and 62 yellow card warnings. The team's goals against/90 min is currently at 1.63 with 80 saves, and they have earned 5 clean sheets. Leeds United sits at 12th when talking about goals against with 44, and the team's goal difference is sitting at -9.

The guy defending the goal for Arsenal is Aaron Ramsdale. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.40 (250 total goals allowed) and he has earned a save % of .692. Ramsdale (71-25-82 record in his career) has recorded 45 clean sheets, which has him sitting with a 25.3% shutout rate. Ramsdale has been on the field for 16,020 minutes and has tallied 481 stops during his career. The goalkeeper from England has had 695 shots tried against him in 178 career starting assignments.

Illan Meslier will look after the goal for Leeds United. Meslier has tallied 37 clean sheets and has defended 540 shots against him in 12,384 career mins. He has earned a save percentage of .693 and his shutout rate is currently at 26.8%. He has allowed 1.53 goals per 90 while earning a mark of 51-34-53. In his career, Meslier has conceded 211 goals and has 374 saves in 138 starting assignments.

Bukayo Saka is a member of the team who should impact this matchup for Arsenal. The forward hailing from England has totaled 29 goals scored in 9,695 professional minutes. Saka has had a starting assignment in 113 contests so far in his career and tallies 0.27 G/90. He has 25 assists while accumulating 18 yellow card cautions so far in his pro soccer career.

Leeds United has playmaker in Patrick Bamford, who is a thorn in the side of defenses. He has totaled 24 yellow card cautions in his pro soccer career and has helped on a goal 22 times. The forward who is from England has been on the pitch for 19,216 professional minutes and has scored 101 goals. He scores 0.47 goals per 90 minutes and has been given a starting assignment in 219 games so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's EPL game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Leeds United (+860)

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