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Almeria vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction, 4/22/2023 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 4/19/2023

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Game: Almeria vs Athletic Bilbao

Date: Saturday, April 22, 2023

Location: Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos in Almeria, Spain

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Almeria (+310) Athletic Bilbao (-114)

The Lions (12-7-10) are headed to Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos on Saturday where they will take on the Rojiblancos (8-6-15). Athletic Bilbao are priced at -114 while Almeria are priced +310. The betting total is set at 2.5. The starting goalkeepers are Fernando Almeria and Unai Simon Athletic Bilbao.

soccer picks Leo Baptistao Almeria predictions best bet odds

The Rojiblancos ranked 12th for goals expected with 33.8, and their xGA were at 49.8. Almeria gave up 50 goals while surrendering 1.72 goals per 90 min, and opposing clubs finished with 160 shots on target on them. This team's goal differential was -15 by way of 35 goals scored and 50 goals given up. They accumulated 2 clean sheets, which put them at a rate of 6.9 over the course of the prior season. Almeria finished with 110 saves and they also were the owners of a SV percentage of 70.6 over the course of last year. Almeria were sitting with 84 yellow cards in the previous season and 3 red cards. Last year, this squad put together an average of 1.03 points per fixture (30 pts) and were ranked 8th in soccer with 24 assists.

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Last season, Athletic Club had a save percentage of 69.9 (93 SoT against), and they also were 7th in La Liga with 43 points. The Lions averaged 1.5 pts per match while totaling 29 assists and 4 red cards. Athletic Bilbao compiled 40 goals and this team's goals expected over the course of last year was 39.2. Athletic Bilbao tallied a clean sheet % of 37.9 in the prior season and also 58 yellow cards. Their goals against per 90 minutes was sitting at 1.00 in addition to 66 saves, and they recorded 11 clean sheets. Athletic Bilbao sat at 4th when talking about goals conceded with 29, and the squad's goal differential was at 11.

The man who will defend the goal for Almeria will be Fernando. His GA/90 is 1.08 (128 goals surrendered) and his save percentage is .728. Martinez (53-25-42 mark in his career) has accumulated 34 clean sheets, which gives him a 28.6% shutout percentage. Martinez has played for 10,699 minutes and has earned 311 stops thus far in his career. The goalkeeper born in Spain has had 427 shots attempted at him in 119 starting assignments.

Unai Simon will be residing in front of the goal for Athletic Bilbao. Simon has tallied 30 shutouts while defending 317 shots attempted against him in 9,066 career minutes. He has a save % of .703 and his clean sheet rate is 29.4%. He has surrendered 1.07 goals per 90 minutes and he has a mark of 36-31-35. In his career, Simon has conceded 108 goals and has tallied 223 saves in 102 starts.

Leo Baptistao is one member of the team who can be a difference maker for Almeria. Baptistao has started 211 matchups in his pro soccer career and tallies 0.26 goals per 90 mins. The forward representing Brazil has accumulated 52 goals in 17,741 professional minutes played. He has totaled 27 assists while accumulating 2 yellow card cautions in his career.

Athletic Bilbao has an attacker in Inaki Williams, who has been known to frustrate defenses. He is averaging 0.25 goals per 90 mins and has been a starter in 220 outings so far in his career. The forward born in Spain has totaled 19,049 professional minutes while scoring 53 goals. He has accumulated 20 yellow card cautions so far in his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 29 times.

Who will win tonight's La Liga game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Almeria (+310)

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