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Toulouse vs Montpellier Prediction, 10/2/2022 Ligue 1 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/27/2022

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Game: Toulouse vs Montpellier

Date: Sunday, October 2, 2022

Location: Stadium de Toulouse in Toulouse, France

TV: Fanatiz USA

Odds/Point Spread: Toulouse (-105) Montpellier (+260)

Stadium de Toulouse is the site where Montpellier (4-0-4) will compete against Toulouse (2-2-4) on Sunday. The Paillade are at at +260 while Les Pitchouns are priced at -105. The over/under comes in at 2.75. The men protecting the net are Maxime Dupe for Toulouse and Jonas Omlin for Montpellier.

Toulouse FC has allowed 13 goals while relinquishing 1.62 goals per 90 minutes, and opposing clubs have compiled 34 SoT on them. They have a total of 2 clean sheets, which has them at a rate of 25.0 for the year. Toulouse has 11 yellow card warnings for the year. Les Pitchouns have a ranking of 15th in relation to xG with 9.1, and their expected goals against are coming in at 12.5. So far this year, this team comes in with an average of 1.00 pts per fixture (8 points) and they also have a ranking of 13th in the league with 6 assists. The team's goal differential is at -4 because of 9 goals earned and also 13 goals allowed. Toulouse has accumulated 22 saves and they also have a save% of 64.7 for the season.

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The Paillade are averaging 1.5 points per match while recording 15 assists and 4 red cards. Montpellier HSC has accounted for a shut out percentage of 25.0 this year as well as 15 yellow card cautions. Montpellier is 7th in regard to goals allowed having 15, and their goal difference is 4. For the year, Montpellier HSC has a save rate of 64.5 (31 SoT against), and are ranked 8th in soccer with 12 points. This team's goals against per 90 min is 1.87 in addition to 21 saves, and they have a total of 2 clean sheets. Montpellier has accumulated 19 goals and the squad's expected goals over the course of the season sits at 9.9.

The man protecting the net for Toulouse will be Maxime Dupe. Dupe (76-41-37 mark in his career) has recorded 54 clean sheets, which has earned him a 35.1% clean sheet rate. The goalkeeper hailing from France has seen 544 shots tried against him in 154 career starting assignments. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.10 (170 total goals conceded) and he holds a save % of .711. Dupe has seen the field for a total of 13,899 mins and has accumulated 387 stops during his career.

Jonas Omlin is expected to look after the net for Montpellier. He has conceded 1.22 goals per 90 minutes while earning a mark of 77-39-60. Omlin has totaled 41 shutouts and has seen 663 shots attempted against him in 15,638 minutes throughout his career. Thus far in his career, Omlin has surrendered 212 goals while earning 473 saves in 176 starts. He sports a save % of .713 and his clean sheet rate is 23.3%.

Thijs Dallinga is one player who can be a force on the pitch for Toulouse. The forward who is from the Netherlands has tallied 34 goals scored in 3,892 minutes played. Dallinga has been in the starting lineup in 45 games during his pro soccer career and he accounts for 0.79 goals per 90 minutes. He has 9 assists while earning 4 yellow cards so far in his career.

Montpellier features a game changer in Elye Wahi, who pesters opposing defenses. The forward hailing from France has totaled 2,996 mins while he has scored 17 goals. He scores 0.51 G/90 and has been given a starting assignment in 32 matches in his pro soccer career. He has 4 yellow cards thus far in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 3 times.

Who will win tonight's Ligue 1 game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toulouse (-105)

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