Southampton vs Arsenal Prediction, 10/23/2022 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/20/2022

soccer picks James Ward-Prowse Southampton predictions best bet odds

Game: Southampton vs Arsenal

Date: Sunday, October 23, 2022

Location: St. Mary's Stadium in Southampton, England

TV: fuboTV

Odds/Point Spread: Southampton (+475) Arsenal (-170)

The Gunners (9-0-1) are headed to St. Mary's Stadium on Sunday where they will attempt to beat the Saints (3-2-6). The Saints are priced at +475 and Arsenal are at -170. The over/under is set at 2.75. The goalkeepers protecting the net will be Gavin Bazunu for Southampton and Aaron Ramsdale for Arsenal.

The Saints have given up 18 goals while relinquishing 1.64 goals per 90, and opposing teams have accumulated 45 SoT against them. They have amassed 1 clean sheet, which has them at a % of 9.1 on the campaign. Southampton has recorded 16 yellow cards so far this season. The Saints are 16th concerning expected goals having 10.0, and the team's expected goals against are sitting at 14.1. For the year, the club has put together an average of 1.00 pts/match (11 pts) and they also are ranked 12th in the league with 8 assists. The team's difference in goals is at -8 with the help of 10 goals put in the net as well as 18 goals conceded. Southampton has recorded 27 saves and they also have a save rate of 60.0 on the year.

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Arsenal has totaled 24 goals and their expected goals this season sits at 18.5. The club's goals against per 90 min is 1.00 with 21 saves, and they have recorded 4 shutouts. So far this season, the Gunners have a save % of 69.0 (29 SoT against), and are 1st in soccer with 27 points. Arsenal is ranked 2nd in the matter of goals given up having 10, and their goal difference is coming in at 14. The Gunners have accounted for a shut out rate of 40.0 on the season as well as 18 yellow cards. The Gunners have put together an average of 2.7 pts per fixture while accounting for 17 assists.

The man who will protect the net for Southampton will be Gavin Bazunu. Bazunu has defended the goal for 7,560 mins and has earned 247 saves so far in his career. His GA/90 is 1.48 (124 goals conceded) and his save % is .671. The goalkeeper hailing from Ireland has seen 368 shots attempted against him in 84 career starts. Bazunu (26-25-33 mark in his career) has totaled 21 clean sheets, which has him sitting with a 25.0% shutout rate.

Aaron Ramsdale will reside in front of the net for Arsenal. During his pro soccer career, Ramsdale has conceded 234 goals while earning 437 saves in 160 starting assignments. He has given up 1.46 goals per 90 minutes and he has a record of 58-22-80. He has a save % of .689 and his shutout rate is currently at 23.1%. Ramsdale has racked up 37 shutouts while defending 634 shots attempted against him in 14,400 career minutes.

Che Adams is one member of the team who could help decide the outcome for Southampton. He has 22 assists while earning 16 yellow cards during his pro soccer career. The forward hailing from Scotland has totaled 68 goals scored in 17,634 professional minutes played. Adams has been in the starting lineup in 195 contests thus far in his career and accounts for 0.35 goals per 90 mins.

Arsenal is being led onto the pitch by Bukayo Saka, who opposing coaches will have to gameplan for in this fixture. The forward born in England has totaled 8,168 mins while scoring 21 goals. He currently averages 0.23 goals per 90 mins and has had a starting assignment in 95 matches so far in his pro soccer career. He has tallied 14 yellow card cautions in his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 19 times.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Southampton (+475)

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Southampton vs Arsenal Prediction, 10/23/2022 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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