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Napoli vs Spezia Prediction, 9/11/2022 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/7/2022

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Game: Napoli vs Spezia

Date: Sunday, September 11, 2022

Location: Stadio San Paolo in Naples, Italy

TV: Paramount +

Odds/Point Spread: Napoli (-360) Spezia (+920)

The Eagles (1-2-2) are en route to Stadio San Paolo on Sunday where they will compete against the Blues (3-2-0). The Blues are priced at -360 and the Eagles are at +920. The over/under is set at 2.5. The starting goalies are Alex Meret for Napoli and Bartlomiej Dragowski for Spezia.

The Blues sit at 2nd in regard to goals expected having 10.5, and their xGA are coming in at 3.2. S.S.C. Napoli has relinquished 4 goals while conceding 0.80 goals per 90 minutes, and opposing teams are sitting with 14 SoT on them. Their goal differential is at 8 as a result of 12 goals tallied and 4 goals relinquished. They have 2 shut outs, giving them a rate of 40.0 on the campaign. Napoli has a total of 10 SVs and they also have earned a SV% of 71.4 this year. Napoli has accounted for 8 yellow card warnings so far this season. On the season, the club has an average of 2.20 pts/match (11 pts) and they also have a ranking of 1st in Serie A with 12 assists.

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The Eagles average 1.0 pts per match while totaling 1 assist and 1 red card. The Eagles have earned a clean sheet percentage of 20.0 so far this season and also 10 yellow card warnings. Spezia has a rank of 17th when it comes to goals conceded having 9, and their goal difference is sitting at -4. For the year, the Eagles have a save % of 69.0 (29 shots on target against), and also are 14th in the league with 5 points. This team's goals against per 90 min is 1.80 in addition to 20 saves, and they have accumulated 1 clean sheet. Spezia has earned 5 goals and their expected goals over the course of the season is at 3.5.

The man who will protect the net for Napoli will be Alex Meret. Meret has seen the field for 9,347 minutes and is sitting with 300 stops so far in his career. His GA/90 is 1.13 (117 total goals conceded) and he holds a save % of .743. The keeper from Italy has had 404 shots sent his way in 104 career starting assignments. Meret (52-28-23 mark during his soccer career) has accumulated 31 shutouts, which has him sitting with a 29.8% shutout rate.

Bartlomiej Dragowski will be residing in front of the net for Spezia. He has allowed 1.31 goals per 90 while holding a mark of 35-36-55. Dragowski has 29 shutouts and defended 571 shots tried against him in 11,330 minutes throughout his career. In his career, Dragowski has conceded 202 goals while totaling 387 saves in 125 starting assignments. He is the owner of a save percentage of .678 and his shutout rate sits at 23.2%.

Victor Osimhen is one member of the squad who can create chances for Napoli. He has totaled 11 assists while tallying 11 yellow cards in his career. The forward born in Nigeria has tallied 37 goals in 6,644 minutes played. Osimhen has been given a starting assignment in 71 contests during his career and he accounts for 0.50 G/90.

Spezia stars Emmanuel Gyasi, who is a thorn in the side of defenses. He has 20 yellow card cautions so far in his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 13 times. The forward representing Ghana has 7,554 mins and has earned 15 goals. He is currently averaging 0.18 G/90 and has been given a starting assignment in 87 games during his soccer career.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Napoli (-360)

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