Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction, 4/10/2022 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Napoli vs Fiorentina

Date: Sunday, April 10, 2022

Location: Stadio San Paolo in Naples, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Odds/Point Spread: Napoli (-152) Fiorentina (+394)

Matteo Politano and Napoli (20-6-5, 2nd in Serie A) play Fiorentina (15-5-10, 8th in Serie A) at Stadio San Paolo on Sunday. The goalkeepers who are expected to start are David Ospina for Napoli and Pietro Terracciano for Fiorentina. The line on this game has Napoli coming in at -152 and Fiorentina are at +394. The total opens at 2.75.

Napoli faced off with Atalanta in their most recent game and walked away with a win by a score of 3-1. In the passing game, they finished this match with a 85.6% received passes rate by converting 368 out of their 430 pass targets in their last game. Napoli tried 21 dribbles in this matchup and converted 9 of the tries for a percentage of 42.9%.

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In terms of shooting accuracy, Napoli walked away from the pitch at a 80.0% rate by putting 4 shots on target of 5 total shots. Napoli sports an average of 1.81 goals per 90 (56 goals in total) and have accumulated 31 assists in all matches for the year.

Matteo Politano is a guy who should impact this matchup for Napoli. Politano has started 208 matchups so far in his career while scoring 0.25 goals per 90 mins. The forward from Italy has earned 49 goals in 17,931 professional minutes played. He has totaled 31 assists while earning 26 yellow card warnings in his career.

One more guy who should impact this match is Lorenzo Insigne, the forward representing Italy. He has helped on a goal 87 times thus far in his career while scoring 111 goals. Insigne has been on the field for 26,627 minutes in 309 starting assignments and has earned himself 26 yellow card cautions. He has an average of 0.38 goals per 90 minutes so far in his career.

The man who will defend the goal for Napoli is David Ospina. Ospina has seen the pitch for a total of 26,041 minutes and has tallied 870 stops during his career. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.10 (318 total goals surrendered) and he has a save percentage of 73.7. The goalie hailing from Colombia has had 1,182 shots tried against him in 292 career starts. Ospina (128-68-94 record during his career) has earned 102 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 34.9% shutout rate.

In their last game, Fiorentina took home the win by a final score of 1-0 against Empoli. Fiorentina finished the match with a 54.5% successful dribble percentage by connecting on 12 out of the 22 dribbles they attempted. They finished the contest by converting 506 of the 546 passes they attempted for a rate of 92.7%. Fiorentina connected on 11 shots on target out of their 24 shots attempted which had them sitting at a 45.8% clip when they last stepped onto the pitch. Having accumulated 49 goals and 26 assists in all their contests, Fiorentina sports an average of 1.63 goals and 0.87 assists per 90 min.

Riccardo Saponara should provide solid play for Fiorentina. He has an average of 0.20 goals per 90 mins and has been a starter in 187 outings during his career. The forward from Italy has been on the pitch for 16,017 mins while earning 36 goals. He has earned 37 yellow card warnings during his pro soccer career and has helped a teammate on a goal 48 times. You should also keep an eye on Cristiano Biraghi, the defender representing Italy. He has scored 10 goals in his pro soccer career while assisting a teammate on a goal 26 different times. Biraghi has been handed a total of 71 yellow card cautions in 25,005 minutes played (280 starting assignments). His goals per 90 min average so far in his pro soccer career is 0.04.

Pietro Terracciano is expected to look after the goal for Fiorentina. During his pro soccer career, Terracciano has given up 156 goals while earning 371 saves in 123 starting assignments. He has conceded 1.25 goals per 90 while earning a mark of 42-40-41. He sports a save percentage of 71.0 and his clean sheet rate sits at 26.0%. Terracciano has earned 32 shutouts while defending 520 shots tried against him in 11,228 career minutes.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Napoli (-152)

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