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Burnley vs Manchester City Prediction, 4/2/2022 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 3/29/2022

soccer picks Matthew Lowton Burnley predictions best bet odds

Game: Burnley vs Manchester City

Date: Saturday, April 2, 2022

Location: Turf Moor in Lancashire, England

TV: Peacock Premium

Odds/Point Spread: Burnley (+1312) Manchester City (-433)

Turf Moor is the venue where Wout Weghorst and Burnley (3-12-12, 19th in the EPL) will take on Manchester City (22-4-3, 1st in the EPL) on Saturday. The goalkeepers who are expected to start are Nick Pope for Burnley and Ederson for Manchester City. Burnley are at +1312 while the Citizens are priced at -433. The total opens at 3.25.

Burnley took the field against Brentford in their most recent game and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 2-0. Burnley tried 8 dribbles in this matchup and completed 2 of the tries for a rate of 25.0%. When discussing the passing game, they had a 76.2% received passes percentage by connecting on 247 of the 324 targeted passes in their last outing.

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Regarding shot accuracy, Burnley finished the game at a 14.3% clip by landing 1 SoT of 7 total shots. Burnley is averaging 0.74 goals per 90 minutes (20 goals in total) and are sitting with 17 assists in all matches this year.

Wout Weghorst is a player who can be a difference maker for Burnley. Weghorst has started 261 matches during his career while scoring 0.49 goals per 90. The forward born in Netherlands has 130 goals in 23,995 minutes played. He has 35 assists while earning 44 yellow card warnings in his career.

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Another player who could decide the outcome is Ashley Westwood, the midfielder representing England. He has assisted on a goal 48 times during his soccer career and he has scored 26 goals. Westwood has earned 35,775 minutes in 402 career starting assignments and has been given 68 yellow card cautions. He is averaging 0.07 goals per 90 so far in his career.

The guy defending the goal for Burnley will be Nick Pope. Pope has been on the field for 19,719 mins and has 688 stops during his pro soccer career. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.1 (238 goals surrendered) and he has earned a save percentage of 75.3. The goalkeeper hailing from England has faced 919 shots attempted at him in 218 career starting assignments. Pope (76-70-73 record during his soccer career) has totaled 84 clean sheets, which gives him a 38.5% shutout rate.

In their last outing, Manchester City earned the draw by finishing with a tally of 0-0 against Crystal Palace. Manchester City ended the game with a 77.8% successful dribble percentage by connecting on 7 out of the 9 dribbles they attempted. They wrapped up this outing by converting 685 of the 734 passing attempts for a rate of 93.3%. Manchester City converted 4 shots tried out of 18 shots tried giving them a 22.2% clip in their last outing. With a total of 66 goals and 40 assists in all their matches, Manchester City has an average of 2.28 goals and 1.38 assists per 90 minutes.

Kevin De Bruyne will need to provide a lift for Manchester City. The midfielder from Belgium has accumulated 29,192 minutes while scoring 89 goals. He has accounted for 33 yellow card cautions so far in his pro soccer career and has assisted on a goal 140 times. He has an average of 0.27 goals per 90 minutes and has started 335 contests in his pro soccer career. Be sure to watch out for Phil Foden, the midfielder representing England. He has accounted for 22 goals so far in his pro soccer career while assisting on a goal 11 times. Foden has been given 1 yellow card warnings in 4,509 mins played (47 starting assignments). His goals per 90 min average so far in his career is 0.44.

Ederson is expected to look after the net for Manchester City. Ederson has recorded 115 shutouts while defending 635 shots against him in 22,022 mins throughout his career. He sports a save % of 73.1 and his clean sheet rate is currently at 46.7%. He has given up 0.76 goals per 90 minutes while holding a record of 170-38-38. During his career, Ederson has conceded 187 goals and has accumulated 460 stops in 246 starts.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Burnley (+1312)

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