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Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC Prediction, 10/9/2022 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/4/2022

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Game: Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC

Date: Sunday, October 9, 2022

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-105) New York City (+265)

The United (10-10-13) are hosting New York City FC (15-7-11) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday. The 5 Stripes open at -105 and NYCFC is at +265. The over/under comes in at 2.75. The men protecting the net will be Raul Gudino for Atlanta United FC and Sean Johnson for New York City FC.

The United have surrendered 50 goals while giving up 1.52 goals per 90, and the other team have 117 SoT against them. They have amassed 6 clean sheets, giving them a percentage of 18.2 this season. Atlanta has accounted for 66 yellow card warnings so far this season and also 3 red cards. The United are ranked 6th when it comes to goals expected having 51.5, and their xGA are sitting at 48.8. On the year, the team sports an average of 1.21 points per match (40 points) and also have a ranking of 9th in MLS with 36 assists. The team's goal differential is currently at -5 because of 47 goals finished and also 52 goals given up. Atlanta United FC has earned 69 SVs and they have earned a save rate of 62.4 this season.

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New York City FC has tallied 55 goals and their goals expected on the season is at 58.4. The club's goals against/90 min is at 1.21 with 75 saves, and they have 14 clean sheets. This season, NYCFC has the club's save percentage of 65.5 (113 shots on target against), and also sit at 5th in the league with 52 pts. New York City ranks 4th in the matter of goals surrendered with 40, and the team's goal differential is at 15. NYCFC has accounted a clean sheet % of 42.4 on the season and 77 yellow card warnings. The Pigeons come in with an average of 1.6 pts per fixture while sitting with 37 assists and 2 red cards.

The man who will defend the goal for Atlanta will be Raul Gudino. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.32 (116 total goals given up) and he is the owner of a save percentage of .703. Gudino (23-29-36 mark in his professional soccer career) has accounted for 21 shutouts, which has earned him a 23.9% clean sheet rate. Gudino has played for 7,920 mins and has accumulated 154 saves during his pro soccer career. The keeper born in Mexico has had 219 shots attempted at him in 88 starts.

Sean Johnson is expected to look after the goal for New York City. He has allowed 1.28 goals per 90 while he holds a record of 162-110-122. Johnson has tallied 110 shutouts and has seen 1,652 shots tried against him in 35,436 mins throughout his career. During his pro soccer career, Johnson has allowed 503 goals and has tallied 1,165 saves in 394 starting assignments. He is the owner of a save percentage of .705 and his shutout rate is currently at 27.9%.

Luiz Araujo is one player who can make a noticable difference for Atlanta. He has accounted for 19 assists while accumulating 26 yellow cards so far in his pro soccer career. The forward born in Brazil has earned 26 goals in 9,398 professional minutes played. Araujo has had a starting assignment in 101 matchups in his pro soccer career and he accounts for 0.25 G/90.

New York City stars Talles Magno, who can change the course of a fixture. The forward born in Brazil has 6,373 minutes and has scored 14 goals. He averages 0.20 goals per 90 mins and has been given a starting assignment in 78 games in his pro soccer career. He has 12 yellow cards in his career and has helped on a goal 8 times.

Who will win tonight's MLS game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (-105)

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