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Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction, 10/16/2022 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/11/2022

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Game: Aston Villa vs Chelsea

Date: Sunday, October 16, 2022

Location: Villa Park in Birmingham, England

TV: fuboTV

Odds/Point Spread: Aston Villa (+350) Chelsea (-120)

The Blues (5-1-2) are hitting the road to Villa Park on Sunday where they will take on the Villains (2-2-4). Aston Villa open at +350 and The Pensioners are at -120. The betting total is set at 2.75. The expected starting goalies will be Emiliano Martinez for Aston Villa and Edouard Mendy for Chelsea.

Aston Villa F.C. has allowed 10 goals while conceding 1.25 goals per 90 min, and the opposition have compiled 30 shots on target against them. They have compiled 2 clean sheets, which has them sitting at a rate of 25.0 for the year. Aston Villa has tallied 20 yellow card warnings on the campaign. The Villains rank 19th concerning goals expected with 6.8, and their expected goals against are coming in at 10.3. On the campaign, the club is averaging 1.00 pts/match (8 points) and sit at 17th in soccer with 4 assists. Their goal differential is at -4 because of 6 goals earned in addition to 10 goals allowed. Aston Villa has earned 21 SVs and they hold a save percentage of 66.7 for the season.

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So far this season, the Blues have a save rate of 68.8 (32 SoT against), and also sit at 4th in the league with 16 points. The Blues average 2.0 points per match while having 11 assists and 2 red cards. Chelsea has earned 13 goals and the squad's goals expected this year sits at 11.1. The Blues have tallied a shut out % of 25.0 over the course of the season as well as 21 yellow card warnings. This club's goals against per 90 minutes is currently at 1.25 in addition to 22 saves, and they have earned 2 clean sheets. Chelsea ranks 7th in relation to goals allowed having 10, and the goal difference is 3.

The man who will protect the net for Aston Villa is Emiliano Martinez. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.23 (194 total goals allowed) and he has a save % of .725. Martinez (55-33-63 mark in his professional soccer career) has accumulated 49 clean sheets, which has earned him a 32.5% clean sheet percentage. Martinez has played for a total of 13,639 mins and has earned 480 saves so far in his career. The goalkeeper born in Argentina has seen 662 shots attempted at him in 151 career starting assignments.

Edouard Mendy will be looking after the net for Chelsea. Mendy has totaled 74 clean sheets and has defended 558 shots against him in 15,718 minutes throughout his career. He is the owner of a save percentage of .754 and his clean sheet rate is 42.3%. He has surrendered 0.90 goals per 90 minutes and he has earned a record of 68-43-31. During his pro soccer career, Mendy has allowed 158 goals and has tallied 421 stops in 175 starting assignments.

Ollie Watkins is one member of the squad who can make a difference on the pitch for Aston Villa. The forward who is from England has 92 goals scored in 22,857 mins played. Watkins has been in the starting lineup in 252 matchups during his soccer career and he accounts for 0.36 G/90. He has 29 assists while tallying 37 yellow cards thus far in his career.

Chelsea has an attacker in Kai Havertz, who is a thorn in the side of defenses. The forward representing Germany has earned 12,861 minutes and has scored 50 goals. He averages 0.35 goals per 90 mins and has been a starter in 146 matches thus far in his career. He has accumulated 18 yellow card cautions in his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 27 times.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Aston Villa (+350)

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