Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction, 4/30/2022 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 4/26/2022

soccer picks Luis Rioja Alaves predictions best bet odds

Game: Alaves vs Villarreal

Date: Saturday, April 30, 2022

Location: Mendizorrotza Stadium in Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Alaves (+240) Villarreal (-101)

Mendizorrotza Stadium is the site where Joselu and Alaves (6-7-20, 20th in La Liga) will play Villarreal (14-10-9, 7th in La Liga) on Saturday. The goalies protecting the net will be Fernando Pacheco for Alaves and Geronimo Rulli for Villarreal. The line on this contest has Alaves priced at +240 and the Submarino Amarillos are at -101. The O/U has been set at 2.75.

Alaves faced off with Mallorca in their most recent game and took a loss by a score of 2-1. Alaves tried 11 dribbles in this matchup and converted 6 of the tries for a rate of 54.5%. When talking about passing the ball, they finished with a 85.0% passes received percentage by completing 407 of the 479 passing targets in their last outing.

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Regarding shot accuracy, Alaves finished at a 33.3% clip by hitting 4 shots on target out of 12 total shots. Alaves is averaging 0.73 goals per 90 min (24 goals in total) and have 15 assists in all games for the year.

Joselu is a player who should be able to impact this match for Alaves. Joselu has been in the starting lineup in 218 contests thus far in his career and he tallies 0.34 goals per 90 mins. The forward born in Germany has earned 77 goals in 20,260 minutes. He has totaled 18 assists while tallying 30 yellow cards in his pro soccer career.

One more player who could decide who wins is Luis Rioja, the midfielder born in Spain. He has assisted on a goal 6 times thus far in his career and he has scored 9 goals. Rioja has played 9,485 mins in 111 starts and has been handed a total of 14 yellow card cautions. He is averaging 0.09 goals per 90 minutes so far in his career.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Alaves is Fernando Pacheco. Pacheco (96-68-118 mark in his career) has earned 82 clean sheets, which has earned him a 29.0% clean sheet rate. The keeper hailing from Spain has had 1,114 shots tried at him in 283 career starts. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.3 (365 goals allowed) and he has a save percentage of 70.1%. Pacheco has defended the goal for 25,371 minutes and is sitting with 781 stops so far in his career.

For their last match, Villarreal got the victory with a final of 2-0 against Valencia. They finished the match by completing 535 of the 589 passes they attempted earning a percentage of 90.8%. Villarreal ended the game with a 54.8% successful dribble rate by completing 17 of the 31 dribbles they pursued. Villarreal connected on 4 shots attempted out of their 11 shots attempted which had them sitting at a 36.4% rate when they last took the field. Having a total of 52 goals and 43 assists in all their matches, Villarreal sports an average of 1.58 goals and 1.30 assists per 90 min.

Dani Parejo will need to be on top of his game for Villarreal. The midfielder from Spain has played 33,596 professional minutes while scoring 69 goals. He has totaled 102 yellow card warnings during his career and has helped on a goal 64 times. He scores 0.18 G/90 and has been a starter in 381 outings in his career. Be sure to keep an eye out for Manu Trigueros, the midfielder who represents Spain. He has totaled 28 goals in his pro soccer career while helping a teammate on a goal 30 times. Trigueros has been given a total of 60 yellow cards in 24,121 mins played (275 career starting assignments). His goals per 90 minute average in his career is 0.10.

Geronimo Rulli will be residing in front of the goal for Villarreal. In his career, Geronimo Rulli has allowed 258 goals while earning 570 saves in 204 starts. He has given up 1.27 goals per 90 mins while earning a mark of 82-53-69. He sports a save percentage of 70.3 and his shutout rate sits at 30.4%. Geronimo Rulli has recorded 62 clean sheets while defending 805 shots tried against him in 18,311 mins throughout his career.

Who will win tonight's La Liga game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Villarreal (-101)

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Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction, 4/30/2022 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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