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VfL Wolfsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, 5/22/2021 Bundesliga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/17/2021

Koen Casteels goalkeeper of VfL Wolfsburg

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Game: VfL Wolfsburg vs FSV Mainz 05

Date: Saturday, May 22, 2021

Location: Volkswagen Arena in Wolfsburg, Germany

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-130) FSV Mainz 05 (+350)

Wout Weghorst and VfL Wolfsburg (17-10-6, 4th in Bundesliga) host FSV Mainz 05 (9-9-15, 13th in Bundesliga) at Volkswagen Arena on Saturday. The starting goaltenders will be Koen Casteels for VfL Wolfsburg and Robin Zentner for FSV Mainz 05. VfL Wolfsburg are at -130 while the O-Fives are at +350. The over/under opens at 2.5.

VfL Wolfsburg faced Union Berlin in their last game and walked away with a win by a score of 3-0. In the passing game, they finished with a 85.3% received passes percentage by completing 492 of the 577 pass attempts in their last game. VfL Wolfsburg tried 12 dribbles in this matchup and successfully completed 7 of those attempts for a rate of 58.3%. In terms of shooting accuracy, VfL Wolfsburg wrapped this game up at a 47.1% rate by putting 8 shots on target of 17 shots. VfL Wolfsburg averages 1.67 goals per 90 (55 goals in total) and have accounted for 46 assists in all games this season.

Wout Weghorst is a player who can be a difference maker for VfL Wolfsburg. Weghorst has been given a starting assignment in 234 outings in his career and he accounts for 0.51 goals per 90 minutes. The forward from the Netherlands has racked up 123 goals in 21,600 mins played. He has totaled 31 assists while tallying 41 yellow card warnings in his career. One more guy who could decide who wins is Ridle Baku, the midfielder hailing from Germany. Baku has earned 6,289 mins in 71 starting assignments and has been given 8 yellow cards. He has assisted a teammate on a goal 10 times in his pro soccer career and he has scored 9 goals. He scores 0.13 goals per 90 minutes for his career.

The guy who will defend the goal for VfL Wolfsburg will be Koen Casteels. Casteels (69-59-67 mark during his career) has recorded 52 shutouts, which gives him a 26.7% shutout percentage. The goalie from Belgium has seen 844 shots tried at him in 195 career starting assignments. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.50 (292 goals conceded) and he is the owner of a save % of 67.4. Casteels has seen the field for 17,524 minutes and has tallied 570 saves thus far in his career.

In their last game, FSV Mainz 05 went home defeated by a final of 3-1 against Borussia Dortmund. FSV Mainz 05 finished with a 33.3% successful dribble rate by connecting on 5 of the 15 dribbles they tried. They finished the contest by connecting on 282 out of their 336 passes they attempted earning a percentage of 83.9%. FSV Mainz 05 connected on 5 shots on target out of the team's 9 shots tried earning them a 55.6% rate when they last took the field. With a total of 36 goals and 21 assists in all their contests, FSV Mainz 05 has an average of 1.09 goals and 0.64 assists per 90 min.

Robin Quaison will need to be on top of his game for FSV Mainz 05. He averages 0.27 goals per 90 minutes and has been a starter in 163 matches in his pro soccer career. The forward from Sweden has totaled 14,689 mins and has scored 44 goals. He has earned 24 yellow cards in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 14 times. Make sure to keep an eye out for Jean-Paul Boetius, the forward hailing from the Netherlands. He has scored 39 goals during his soccer career while assisting on a goal 40 times. Boetius has been given 26 yellow card warnings in 15,031 mins (171 starting assignments). His goals per 90 minute average so far in his career is 0.23.

Robin Zentner will reside in front of the goal for FSV Mainz 05. Zentner has accumulated 29 shutouts while defending 575 shots attempted against him in 11,205 career mins. He sports a save percentage of 69.7 and his clean sheet rate is currently at 23.2%. He has surrendered 1.48 goals per 90 mins while earning a mark of 36-35-54. In his career, Zentner has allowed 184 goals and has totaled 402 saves in 125 starting assignments.

Who will win tonight's Bundesliga game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take FSV Mainz 05 (+350)

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