VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, 4/24/2021 Bundesliga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 4/22/2021

Game: VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund

Date: Saturday, April 24, 2021

Location: Volkswagen Arena in Wolfsburg, Germany

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (+173) Borussia Dortmund (+148)

Marco Reus and Borussia Dortmund (16-4-10, 5th in Bundesliga) go to Volkswagen Arena on Saturday where they'll meet VfL Wolfsburg (16-9-5, 3rd in Bundesliga). The men protecting the net will be Koen Casteels for VfL Wolfsburg and Marwin Hitz for Borussia Dortmund. VfL Wolfsburg are at +173 while the Black and Yellow are at +148. The total has been set at 2.75.

VfL Wolfsburg took the field against VfB Stuttgart in their last game and went home with a win by a final score of 3-1. When talking about passing the ball, they earned a 77.5% received passes percentage by converting 289 of the 373 targeted passes last match. VfL Wolfsburg attempted 10 dribbles in this match and converted 9 of those attempts for a percentage of 90.0%. Concerning shot accuracy, VfL Wolfsburg wrapped this game up at a 30.8% clip by putting 4 SoT out of 13 total shots. VfL Wolfsburg sports an average of 1.67 goals per 90 min (50 total goals) and are sitting with 41 assists in all contests this year.

Wout Weghorst is a player who should impact this matchup for VfL Wolfsburg. Weghorst has started 231 matchups in his career while scoring 0.52 goals per 90 minutes. The forward from the Netherlands has earned 123 goals in 21,330 minutes played. He has totaled 31 assists while tallying 41 yellow cards during his career. One more guy who could decide who wins is Ridle Baku, the midfielder born in Germany. He has assisted a teammate on a goal 7 times in his career while scoring 9 goals. Baku has been on the pitch for 6,020 mins in 68 starting assignments and has earned himself 7 yellow card warnings. He scores 0.13 goals per 90 during his soccer career.

The man who is expected to protect the net for VfL Wolfsburg is Koen Casteels. Casteels has played for a total of 17,254 mins and has earned 566 stops in his pro soccer career. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.50 (288 total goals surrendered) and he has a save % of 67.5. The goalkeeper hailing from Belgium has seen 837 shots attempted against him in 192 career starts. Casteels (68-58-66 mark in his career) has tallied 51 clean sheets, which has earned him a 26.6% shutout rate.

When they last stepped on the pitch, Borussia Dortmund took home the win by a final score of 4-1 against Werder Bremen. Borussia Dortmund had a 66.7% successful dribble percentage by connecting on 16 of the 24 dribbles they tried. They wrapped up this match by converting 705 of the 767 passes they attempted earning a rate of 91.9%. Borussia Dortmund connected on 7 shots on goal out of 16 shots attempted which gave them a 43.8% rate in their last outing. Having accumulated 63 goals and 49 assists in all their contests, Borussia Dortmund has an average of 2.10 goals and 1.63 assists per 90.

Marco Reus will need to be on top of his game for Borussia Dortmund. He is averaging 0.47 goals per 90 and has had a starting assignment in 303 matches in his career. The forward from Germany has been on the field for 26,049 professional minutes and has scored 136 goals. He has 37 yellow card cautions so far in his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 72 times. You should also keep an eye on Erling Haaland, the forward born in England. Haaland has been handed 8 yellow card warnings in 6,252 mins played (67 career starting assignments). His goals per 90 average so far in his pro soccer career is 0.96. He has scored 67 goals during his career while helping a teammate on a goal 16 times.

Marwin Hitz will be residing in front of the net for Borussia Dortmund. In his pro soccer career, Hitz has allowed 228 goals and has earned 595 stops in 172 starts. He has surrendered 1.32 goals per 90 while holding a record of 68-42-63. He has earned a save % of 73.0 and his shutout rate sits at 32.0%. Hitz has totaled 55 clean sheets while seeing 820 shots against him in 15,510 mins throughout his career.

Who will win tonight's Bundesliga game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take VfL Wolfsburg (+173)

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VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, 4/24/2021 Bundesliga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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