Southampton vs Leeds United Prediction, 10/16/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/12/2021

Game: Southampton vs Leeds United

Date: Saturday, October 16, 2021

Location: St. Mary's Stadium in Southampton, England

TV: Peacock Premium

Odds/Point Spread: Southampton (+159) Leeds United (+153)

St. Mary's Stadium is the site where Adam Armstrong and Southampton (0-4-3, 17th in the EPL) will take on Leeds United (1-3-3, 16th in the EPL) on Saturday. The men protecting the net are Alex McCarthy for Southampton and Illan Meslier for Leeds United. Leeds United are at at +153 while the Saints are at +159. The over/under is set at 3.

Southampton played Chelsea in their most recent game and went home with a loss by a final score of 3-1. In the passing game, they finished this match with a 79.6% received passes percentage by converting 273 out of their 343 targeted passes last match. Southampton attempted 27 dribbles in this matchup and completed 16 of those dribbles for a rate of 59.3%.

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In regard to shooting accuracy, Southampton finished at a 20.0% clip by putting 1 shot on target of 5 total shots. Southampton is averaging 0.57 goals per 90 (4 goals in total) and have accounted for 1 assists in all matches for the season.

Adam Armstrong is one guy you are going to want to keep your eye on for Southampton. He has 28 assists while earning 10 yellow cards during his career. Armstrong has had a starting assignment in 209 games thus far in his career and he has earned 0.41 goals per 90 mins. The forward born in England has earned 86 goals in 18,758 mins.

One more guy who could decide who wins is Che Adams, the forward representing England. Adams has accumulated 15,170 mins during 168 starting assignments and has been handed 16 yellow card warnings. He has helped on a goal 19 times so far in his career while scoring 58 goals. He averages 0.34 goals per 90 for his career.

The guy defending the goal for Southampton will be Alex McCarthy. McCarthy has defended the goal for 22,880 minutes and is sitting with 850 stops during his pro soccer career. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.5 (372 goals allowed) and he has a save percentage of 70.1. The goalkeeper hailing from England has seen 1,209 shots tried at him in 254 career starts. McCarthy (81-74-100 mark in his career) has earned 60 shutouts, which gives him a 23.6% shutout rate.

The last time they took the pitch, Leeds United went home victorious with a score of 1-0 against Watford. Leeds United earned a 56.3% successful dribble percentage by completing 9 out of the 16 dribbles they tried. They finished the match by converting 434 out of their 489 passes they attempted for a rate of 88.8%. Leeds United landed 3 shots tried out of 20 shots tried earning them a 15.0% clip in their last game. With a total of 7 goals and 5 assists in all their matches, Leeds United is averaging 1.00 goal and 0.71 assists per 90 minutes.

Kalvin Phillips will be someone to watch for Leeds United. He has an average of 0.08 goals per 90 and has had a starting assignment in 177 games thus far in his career. The midfielder who is from England has played 15,497 mins while scoring 13 goals. He has accumulated 48 yellow cards in his career and has assisted on a goal 11 times. Be sure to watch out for Raphinha, the forward born in Brazil. He has scored 21 goals so far in his career while assisting a teammate on a goal 15 times. Raphinha has been handed 16 yellow cards in 6,908 mins played (78 career starts). His goals per 90 min average so far in his career is 0.27.

Illan Meslier is expected to look after the goal for Leeds United. Meslier has tallied 28 shutouts while defending 242 shots tried against him in 7,200 career minutes. He is the owner of a save % of 74.8 and his clean sheet rate is 35.0%. He has surrendered 1.27 goals per 90 minutes and he has earned a mark of 37-18-25. During his pro soccer career, Meslier has conceded 102 goals while earning 183 stops in 80 starts.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Leeds United (+153)

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Pick:	NY Knicks +4
Start:	November 25, 2024 @ 9:00 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Free NBA pick for Monday from Doc’s Sports: Take New York +4 over Denver (9 p.m. EST, Monday November 25) We like to take a good team after a bad loss, and New York certainly fits the bill here. They had a hiccup on Saturday with a blowout loss at the lowly Jazz. Utah enjoyed very hot shooting from deep in that one, and it was kind of a bit fluky as it’s tough to beat any team that is hitting shots like that. So New York will be in bounce back mode today and they will be playing hard. Beating the Nuggets will put that loss in the rearview mirror. New York right now is the better team. Of course, the Nuggets will always get a top performance from their MVP, but the rest of the team has not been contributing in the ways we would expect. Denver is 9-6 on the season and 6-8-1 ATS. They have dropped three of five entering this matchup. The Knicks have won three of four meetings, and we think they will challenge for the win tonight. Read More Read Less

Southampton vs Leeds United Prediction, 10/16/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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