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Southampton vs Burnley Prediction, 4/4/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/31/2021

James Ward-Prowse Southampton

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Game: Southampton vs Burnley

Date: Sunday, April 4, 2021

Location: St. Mary's Stadium in Southampton, England

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Southampton (+120) Burnley (+230)

St. Mary's Stadium is the venue where Che Adams and Southampton (9-6-14, 14th in the EPL) will play Burnley (8-9-12, 15th in the EPL) on Sunday. The goalies who are expected to start are Alex McCarthy for Southampton and Nick Pope for Burnley. Southampton are at +120 while the Clarets are priced at +230. The total is set at 2.25.

Southampton played Brighton in their most recent match and ended up losing by a score of 2-1. When discussing the passing game, they earned a 83.1% received passes percentage by converting 403 of the 485 pass targets in their last game. Southampton attempted 10 dribbles in this contest and successfully completed 4 of the attempts for a rate of 40.0%. In terms of shooting accuracy, Southampton wrapped this game up at a 44.4% rate by hitting 4 shots on target of 9 total shots. Southampton averages 1.24 goals per 90 minutes (36 goals in total) and have earned 23 assists in all matches this season.

Che Adams is a player who should be able to impact this game for Southampton. He has accounted for 17 assists while tallying 16 yellow cards in his career. Adams has been given a starting assignment in 157 outings so far in his pro soccer career while scoring 0.35 goals per 90 minutes. The forward born in England has totaled 56 goals in 14,288 professional minutes played. One more guy who should impact this match is James Ward-Prowse, the midfielder born in England. He has assisted on a goal 27 times so far in his career while he has scored 29 total goals. Ward-Prowse has been on the field for 16,705 mins in 180 career starting assignments and has been handed a total of 32 yellow card cautions. He is averaging 0.16 goals per 90 for his career.

The man who is expected to protect the net for Southampton will be Alex McCarthy. McCarthy (80-69-94 record during his soccer career) has recorded 58 shutouts, which has earned him a 24.0% clean sheet percentage. The goalie hailing from England has seen 1,149 shots attempted at him in 242 career starts. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.5 (353 goals conceded) and he has a save % of 70.1. McCarthy has seen the pitch for 21,800 minutes and is sitting with 809 stops in his pro soccer career.

The last time they took the field, Burnley got the victory with a final of 2-1 against Everton. They wrapped up this outing by converting 216 of the 300 passes they tried for a percentage of 72.0%. Burnley had a 77.8% successful dribble rate by completing 7 out of the 9 dribbles they attempted. Burnley landed 5 shots attempted out of their 14 shots attempted giving them a 35.7% rate when they last took the field. With 21 goals and 11 assists in all their contests, Burnley has an average of 0.72 goals and 0.38 assists per 90.

Chris Wood will need to be on top of his game for Burnley. He currently averages 0.46 goals per 90 mins and has started 282 matches so far in his pro soccer career. The forward hailing from New Zealand has accumulated 25,056 minutes while scoring 127 goals. He has accounted for 9 yellow card cautions during his soccer career and has helped on a goal 32 times. You should also watch out for Ashley Westwood, the midfielder who represents England. He has earned 24 goals during his soccer career while helping on a goal 44 different times. Westwood has been given a total of 60 yellow card cautions in 32,978 mins played (371 career starting assignments). His goals per 90 min average in his career is 0.07.

Nick Pope will be looking after the goal for Burnley. In his career, Pope has surrendered 201 goals while totaling 606 saves in 189 starting assignments. He has surrendered 1.06 goals per 90 while holding a record of 71-58-61. He sports a save percentage of 76.1 and his clean sheet rate is 39.7%. Pope has earned 75 clean sheets and has defended 798 shots against him in 17,109 minutes throughout his career.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Southampton (+120)

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